Trading Report

Session 2026-10-12 · signal_gen MNQ · updated daily after 17:00 ET

down, high-vol, MNQ move -268.5pt, range 443.0pt

Net P/L

$50.50

Trades

Win rate

100%

Profit factor

—

Best / Worst

$50.50 / $50.50

Avg hold

290m

Day Summary

down (-25pt over the session), dominant regime adopted; strategy mix {'adopted': 1}

The bot took one trade: an adopted orphan short at 30919.25 (10:54, broker-truth adoption with a wide 75pt backstop stop and no TP) on a down day that fell ~25pt. The position was never actively managed and rode 290 bars until the 15:45 ET EOD flatten at 30894 for +25.2pts / +$50.5. The result was positive but came from holding an inherited position with no defined exit logic, and it was reportedly up much more (~+$140) at the intraday low before giving back gains into the flatten.

- Add a trailing stop or partial profit-lock once an adopted/trend-day position is up ~40pts (or ~$100+) so peak open profit isn't handed back into the EOD flatten. - Give adopted orphan positions a real managed exit (tighter-than-75pt stop plus a target or trail) instead of only a wide backstop, so the result isn't left to the clock. - Don't credit the strategy for this win: with one trade and no entry signal (score 0, no RSI/ATR), treat it as a lucky inherited position and judge the bot on its own entries.

SPX Close Prediction · from 0DTE option flow (GEX/P-C) · butterfly body

Predicted close

7807.5

Range (wings)

7805.0 – 7810.0

Actual close

7806.5

Error

1.0 pt

Butterfly: center the body near 7807.5, wings around 7805.0/7810.0. Per-source levels — v82: 7805.0/7805.0 · v83: 7810.0/7810.0 · v51a: 7805.0/7809.9.

Date	Predicted	Range	Actual	Error (pt)
2026-10-12	7807.5	7805.0 – 7810.0	7806.5	1.0
2026-10-09	7810.0	7810.0 – 7810.0	7810.5	0.5
2026-10-08	7765.0	7765.0 – 7765.0	7766.8	1.8
2026-10-07	7800.0	7785.0 – 7805.0	7801.5	1.5
2026-10-06	7820.0	7816.0 – 7825.9	7819.2	0.8
2026-10-05	7775.0	7771.7 – 7776.6	7773.9	1.1
2026-10-02	7722.5	7693.4 – 7743.0	7722.9	0.4
2026-10-01	7665.6	7663.1 – 7670.0	7665.1	0.5
2026-09-30	7662.5	7648.1 – 7665.0	7652.6	9.9
2026-09-29	7672.5	7665.0 – 7680.0	7669.3	3.2
2026-09-28	7685.0	7682.9 – 7687.9	7683.9	1.1
2026-09-25	7740.9	7670.0 – 7745.0	7743.6	2.7
2026-09-24	7705.0	7702.6 – 7707.6	7704.4	0.6
2026-09-23	7702.5	7700.0 – 7708.4	7704.9	2.5
2026-09-22	7765.5	7765.0 – 7770.0	7765.5	0.0

Market Analysis

Instrument	Close	Change	%	Range	Trend	Support	Resistance	Note
SPX	7807.24	-5.8	-0.07%	24.7	rangebound	7805	7805	S&P 500 cash index (Yahoo); GEX walls 7805.0/7805.0
ES	7857.00	-16.0	-0.20%	40.8	down	—	—	S&P 500 future (Yahoo ES=F)
NQ/MNQ	30877.50	-268.5	-0.86%	443.0	down	—	—	Nasdaq-100 future MNQ
NDX	30664.70	-131.3	-0.43%	195.3	down	—	—	Nasdaq-100 cash index (Yahoo)

Signals vs Orders

Signals taken

Suppressed

Gate vetoes

Missed Opportunities & Trend Check

Window	aiprediction	Our result	Move	Missed $	Reason	Note
session	bearish	profit	-268.5	—	ok	aiprediction trend=bearish, actual MNQ move=-268.5pt (down); our session net=$50.5 (profit)

Trades (1)

Entry	Strat	Dir	In	Out	Pts	P/L	Exit	Grade	Lesson
10:54 AM	adopted	short	30919.25	30894.00	25.3	$50.50	eod_flatten(15:45 ET, now 15:45)	good_entry	Add a trailing stop or partial profit-lock once a trend-day trade is up ~40pts so winners aren't handed back into the EOD flatten.

Recent Sessions

Date	Trades	Win%	PF	Net P/L
2026-10-12	1	100%	—	$50.50
2026-10-09	1	0%	0	$-134.50
2026-10-08	1	0%	0	$-162.00
2026-10-06	1	0%	0	$-159.00
2026-10-05	1	100%	—	$234.00
2026-10-02	1	0%	0	$-251.50
2026-09-30	1	0%	0	$-42.00
2026-09-29	7	0%	0	$-405.50
2026-09-25	7	14.3%	0.02	$-558.50
2026-09-24	7	0%	0	$-427.50
2026-09-16	1	0%	0	$-1055.00
2026-09-02	1	0%	0	$-164.50
2026-08-28	7	14.3%	0.18	$-247.00
2026-08-27	8	37.5%	0.52	$-134.50
2026-08-26	5	60%	2.66	$207.50
2026-08-25	7	42.9%	0.37	$-98.50
2026-08-24	6	16.7%	0.34	$-165.50
2026-08-21	5	40%	0.23	$-76.00
2026-08-20	16	25%	0.11	$-503.00
2026-08-19	12	8.3%	0.01	$-394.50
2026-08-18	22	27.3%	0.75	$-182.50
2026-08-17	7	14.3%	0.17	$-210.00
2026-08-14	26	15.4%	0.55	$-286.50
2026-08-13	19	47.4%	3.21	$580.00
2026-08-12	34	35.3%	0.29	$-1150.00
2026-08-11	28	21.4%	0.4	$-741.50
2026-08-10	18	16.7%	0.03	$-1030.00
2026-08-07	15	26.7%	0.05	$-512.00
2026-08-06	25	32%	1.07	$52.00
2026-08-05	19	26.3%	0.32	$-440.50