Trading Report

Session 2026-08-12 · signal_gen MNQ · updated daily after 17:00 ET

Events: Core CPI m/m; Core CPI y/y; CPI m/m; CPI y/y; CSCO earnings (after-hours)

up, high-vol, MNQ move 159.5pt, range 448.2pt

Net P/L

$-1150.00

Trades

Win rate

35.3%

Profit factor

0.29

Best / Worst

$121.00 / $-376.00

Avg hold

23.9m

Day Summary

up (+186pt over the session), dominant regime R2; strategy mix {'ttm_scalper': 34}

ttm_scalper fired all 34 trades with score=0.0 and RSI=None, indicating the confluence scoring feature was non-functional all session, so every entry was effectively unfiltered. The strategy went 12-22 with 15 tick_sl stop-outs, but two of those stops (SL set at 25.08pt and 24.08pt) actually filled 174.8pt and 188.0pt away from entry, costing $349.5 and $376 combined — over 60% of the day's $1150 loss — both exiting at the identical price 29647.25, which points to a stop-execution/fill bug rather than normal slippage. The ha_flip exits (redx2/greenx2) were net profitable (+$264.5 combined) and worked as designed, and the eod_flatten and event_flatten guards both banked winners correctly.

Investigate and fix the stop-loss execution path: two trades lost 7-8x their set SL distance and both filled at the exact same price (29647.25), suggesting a stale-price or delayed-fill bug, not market noise — this alone accounts for most of the day's loss. Fix or bypass the score/RSI confluence calculation — it returned 0.0/None on all 34 trades, meaning the 'low-conviction' filter never actually filtered anything; verify the feature pipeline feeding ttm_scalper before trusting any score-based tuning advice. Keep the ha_flip exit logic and event/EOD flatten guards as-is — they performed correctly and were the session's only reliably profitable component.

SPX Close Prediction · from 0DTE option flow (GEX/P-C) · butterfly body

Predicted close

7747.5

Range (wings)

7745.0 – 7753.2

Actual close

7748.5

Error

1.0 pt

Butterfly: center the body near 7747.5, wings around 7745.0/7753.2. Per-source levels — v82: 7745.0/7750.0 · v83: 7745.0/7750.0 · v51a: 7748.2/7753.2.

Date	Predicted	Range	Actual	Error (pt)
2026-08-12	7747.5	7745.0 – 7753.2	7748.5	1.0
2026-08-11	7720.0	7720.0 – 7725.0	7722.5	2.5
2026-08-10	7750.0	7750.0 – 7750.0	7749.8	0.2
2026-08-07	7756.6	7750.0 – 7760.0	7758.1	1.5
2026-08-06	7707.5	7705.0 – 7710.0	7710.1	2.6
2026-08-05	7729.9	7730.0 – 7735.0	7731.9	2.0
2026-08-04	7742.5	7736.5 – 7745.0	7736.5	6.0
2026-08-03	7597.5	7500.0 – 7602.0	7598.8	1.3
2026-07-31	7488.3	7400.0 – 7500.0	7489.8	1.5
2026-07-30	7438.7	7410.0 – 7440.0	7438.0	0.7
2026-07-29	7309.9	7312.4 – 7325.0	7314.4	4.5
2026-07-28	7427.5	7425.0 – 7430.0	7428.9	1.4
2026-07-27	7412.5	7405.0 – 7415.0	7413.0	0.5
2026-07-24	7410.0	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.5	1.5
2026-07-23	7406.1	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.1	2.0

Market Analysis

Instrument	Close	Change	%	Range	Trend	Support	Resistance	Note
SPX	7748.50	-17.0	-0.22%	28.1	down	7745	7750	S&P 500 cash index (Yahoo); GEX walls 7745.0/7750.0
ES	7766.75	10.8	0.14%	45.5	rangebound	—	—	S&P 500 future (Yahoo ES=F)
NQ/MNQ	29809.50	159.5	0.54%	448.3	up	—	—	Nasdaq-100 future MNQU6
NDX	29742.60	-132.6	-0.44%	165.6	down	—	—	Nasdaq-100 cash index (Yahoo)

Signals vs Orders

Signals taken

Suppressed

208

Gate vetoes

Time	Dir	Module	Suppressed by	Hypo +15m	Hypo +60m	Detail
06:15 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$2.50	$35.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
07:02 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$15.50	$21.00	-1 ict_short sweep>29654 reclaim29650 rsi56 div
07:29 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$18.50	$-30.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
07:30 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$25.50	$-20.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
07:48 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=30 (eve)
07:55 PM	—		?	—	—
07:55 PM	—		?	—	—
08:01 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
08:02 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=28 (eve)
08:05 PM	—		?	—	—
08:20 PM	—		?	—	—
08:20 PM	—		?	—	—
08:21 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
09:05 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$30.50	$34.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
09:06 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$53.50	$39.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
09:25 PM	—		?	—	—
09:44 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$30.00	$-25.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
09:45 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$28.50	$-23.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
09:46 PM	—		?	—	—
09:49 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$35.50	$-38.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
09:50 PM	—		?	—	—
09:50 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$39.50	$-35.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
09:51 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$46.00	$-31.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
10:00 PM	—		?	—	—
10:00 PM	—		?	—	—
10:29 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.00	$-48.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
10:30 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-25.00	$-50.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
10:32 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-26.00	$-32.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
10:33 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-27.00	$-32.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
10:34 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-19.50	$-21.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
10:35 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-14.00	$-26.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=83
10:36 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-10.00	$-17.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=85
10:37 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-18.00	$-14.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
10:38 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-14.00	$-6.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
10:39 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-12.00	$-9.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
10:41 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-13.50	$-4.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
10:48 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-21.00	$1.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
10:49 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-13.00	$-5.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
10:50 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-16.00	$-4.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
10:53 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$1.00	$20.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
10:54 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-1.00	$24.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
10:57 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$0.00	$12.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
10:59 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-10.00	$11.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
11:00 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$2.50	$18.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
11:01 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$15.50	$29.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
11:02 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$10.00	$14.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
11:03 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$15.00	$16.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=81
11:04 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$15.50	$14.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
11:30 PM	—		?	—	—
11:55 PM	—		?	—	—
12:26 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$14.50	$28.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
12:35 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=15 (eve)
12:41 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
12:54 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$30.50	$-4.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
12:55 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$40.00	$-8.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
12:56 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$48.00	$-4.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
12:57 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$46.00	$1.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
12:58 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$43.50	$1.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
12:59 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$56.50	$-4.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
01:31 AM	—	-1	?	—	—	-1 ribbon_stack_dn(age=1)
01:32 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$1.50	$-18.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
01:33 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$1.00	$-24.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
01:35 AM	—		?	—	—
01:35 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$9.00	$-20.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
01:36 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-3.50	$-22.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
01:43 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-10.50	$-11.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
02:01 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$23.00	$-53.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
02:02 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$8.50	$-54.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
02:03 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$9.50	$-42.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
02:05 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$29.50	$-53.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
02:39 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$3.00	$-23.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
02:40 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-2.00	$-24.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
02:49 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-39.50	$-6.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
02:50 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-43.00	$-9.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
02:51 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-49.50	$-9.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
02:53 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-30.50	$-14.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
03:00 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-5.50	$-32.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
03:01 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$6.00	$-29.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=87
03:02 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-1.50	$-47.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=85
03:03 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$7.00	$-56.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=86
03:04 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$11.00	$-60.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
03:05 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$18.00	$-37.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
03:06 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$21.50	$-32.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
03:07 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$38.50	$-33.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
03:08 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$34.00	$-31.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
03:30 AM	—		?	—	—
04:00 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-33.50	$-93.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=83
04:01 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-39.50	$-90.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=86
04:02 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-28.50	$-77.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=90
04:03 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-18.50	$-57.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=93
04:04 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-12.50	$-58.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=94
04:05 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.00	$-56.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=87
04:08 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-43.50	$-79.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
04:19 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$29.00	$-59.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
04:20 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$31.00	$-54.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
04:21 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$31.50	$-47.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
04:22 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$30.50	$-58.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
04:23 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$41.00	$-88.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
04:24 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$33.50	$-99.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=84
04:25 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$26.50	$-91.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
04:45 AM	—		?	—	—
04:48 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-18.00	$-59.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
04:49 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-33.00	$-63.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
04:50 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-18.50	$-66.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
04:51 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-15.00	$-37.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
04:52 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-16.50	$-26.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
04:53 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-32.50	$-23.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
04:54 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-30.00	$-19.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
04:55 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.50	$-28.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
04:56 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-25.00	$-27.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
04:57 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.00	$-22.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
04:58 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-25.00	$-32.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
05:02 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-18.50	$-46.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
05:03 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-19.00	$-55.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
05:05 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-8.50	$-46.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
05:09 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-63.00	$-30.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
05:10 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-52.00	$-52.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
05:11 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-46.50	$-55.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
05:12 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-28.50	$-54.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
05:13 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-17.50	$-63.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
05:16 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-40.50	$-50.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
05:17 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-51.00	$-48.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
05:24 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-1.50	$-19.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=88
05:25 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$13.50	$8.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=91
05:26 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$6.00	$-2.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
06:11 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-2.00	$8.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
06:12 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-9.50	$15.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
06:13 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-6.50	$22.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
06:14 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$4.00	$40.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
06:22 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$9.00	$62.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
06:25 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$9.50	$53.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
06:50 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$12.00	$11.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=38) rsi5=38 sl=34.5
06:51 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$22.50	$34.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=38) rsi5=38 sl=31.3
06:52 AM	—		?	—	—
06:52 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$14.00	$33.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=38) rsi5=38 sl=33.4
06:53 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$28.00	$34.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=38) rsi5=38 sl=35.4
06:54 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$40.50	$31.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=38) rsi5=38 sl=34.5
06:55 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$34.50	$35.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=39) rsi5=40 sl=34.7
06:57 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$28.50	$52.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=39) rsi5=40 sl=31.9
06:58 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$24.00	$56.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=38) rsi5=40 sl=30.6
06:59 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$18.00	$68.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=38) rsi5=40 sl=28.1
07:00 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-5.00	$59.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=39) rsi5=39 sl=12.2
07:01 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-32.50	$59.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=39) rsi5=39 sl=25.4
07:02 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-33.00	$55.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=39) rsi5=39 sl=23.0
07:03 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-28.00	$56.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=39) rsi5=39 sl=20.6
07:04 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-23.50	$58.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=39) rsi5=39 sl=17.6
07:10 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$40.00	$6.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
07:11 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
07:12 AM	—		?	—	—
07:12 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-40.50	$11.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=40) rsi5=60 sl=18.8
07:13 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-34.50	$15.00	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=40) rsi5=60 sl=15.7
07:14 AM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-31.00	$8.50	+1 ha_long regime-hold(run=40) rsi5=60 sl=11.1
07:15 AM	—		?	—	—
07:16 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=29 (eve)
07:17 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=28 (eve)
07:18 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=26 (eve)
07:19 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=26 (eve)
07:36 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-27.50	$-129.50	-1 ict_short sweep>29819 reclaim29816 rsi52 div
07:42 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-20.00	$-195.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
07:43 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.50	$-191.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
07:54 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$3.50	$-167.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
07:57 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-2.00	$-141.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
07:58 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$9.00	$-148.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
07:59 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$23.50	$-156.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
08:00 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$15.50	$-151.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=83
08:01 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$39.50	$-155.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
08:02 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$59.50	$-127.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=89
08:03 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$46.50	$-131.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
08:04 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$44.50	$-148.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
08:27 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-156.00	$-269.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
08:28 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-141.00	$-256.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
08:29 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-101.00	$-257.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
08:30 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-22.00	$-128.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=91
08:40 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$11.00	$105.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
08:41 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$37.00	$78.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
09:06 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-91.00	$53.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
09:07 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-81.00	$78.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
09:17 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$105.50	$83.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
09:18 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$89.50	$77.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
09:19 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$160.00	$151.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
09:20 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$130.50	$166.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=83
09:21 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$81.50	$174.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=87
09:22 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$145.00	$187.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=89
09:23 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$167.00	$153.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=89
09:24 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$166.50	$97.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
09:28 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$173.50	$124.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
09:29 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$168.50	$136.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
09:35 AM	—		?	—	—
09:49 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$228.50	$129.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
09:50 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$151.50	$174.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
09:50 AM	—		?	—	—
10:13 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-38.50	$38.50	-1 ict_short sweep>29922 reclaim29904 rsi49 div
10:27 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$71.50	$180.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
10:35 AM	—		?	—	—
10:46 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
10:55 AM	—		?	—	—
10:56 AM	—	-1	?	—	—	-1 ribbon_stack_dn(age=1)
11:25 AM	—		?	—	—
01:04 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$36.50	$33.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
01:05 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$29.00	$35.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
01:06 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$32.50	$62.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
01:07 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$44.50	$54.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
01:08 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$38.00	$50.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
01:27 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$3.00	$38.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
02:12 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$32.00	$62.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
02:41 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$51.50	$150.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
02:42 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$76.50	$176.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
03:16 PM	—	-1	?	—	—	-1 ribbon_stack_dn(age=1)

Missed Opportunities & Trend Check

Window	aiprediction	Our result	Move	Missed $	Reason	Note
session	bearish	loss	159.5	—	trend_day_not_captured	aiprediction trend=bearish, actual MNQ move=159.5pt (up); our session net=$-1150.0 (loss)

Trades (34)

Entry	Strat	Dir	In	Out	Pts	P/L	Exit	Grade	Lesson
06:14 PM	ttm_scalper	long	29659.75	29551.75	-108.0	$-216.00	tick_sl	unlucky	Consider widening the initial stop slightly beyond 1x ATR on ttm_scalper longs to avoid getting shaken out on immediate retests.
06:29 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29654.50	29647.50	7.0	$14.00	ttm_ha_flip_greenx2	good_exit	Trust the ha_flip exit rule as-is — it banked +7pts before a null RSI reading could have caused a larger reversal.
07:09 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29649.25	29658.75	-9.5	$-19.00	tick_sl	unlucky	Widen the stop-loss or use an ATR-based stop (>1x ATR=5.03) instead of a fixed tight tick_sl for this setup.
08:04 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29638.75	29661.75	-23.0	$-46.00	tick_sl	good_exit	Score 0.0 and missing RSI on a scalp entry are a weak-confluence flag — treat those as reduced size/skip candidates rather than full-size fires.
08:39 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29655.75	29673.00	-17.3	$-34.50	tick_sl	good_exit	A tight tick_sl on a 0.0-score, ATR~8.7 setup will get clipped by normal noise; consider sizing the stop relative to ATR rather than a fixed tick distance.
09:19 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29663.00	29678.75	-15.8	$-31.50	tick_sl	unlucky	A 15pt stop on a 0-score signal is too tight relative to normal MNQ noise; either widen the stop or require a nonzero score before firing.
09:44 PM	ttm_scalper	long	29678.00	29659.00	-19.0	$-38.00	tick_sl	unlucky	A quick tick-stop loss on a valid signal isn't evidence the setup was wrong — don't tweak the strategy off single-trade noise.
10:19 PM	ttm_scalper	long	29664.00	29700.75	30.3	$121.00	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	good_exit	Keep letting ttm_scalper ride winners to the flip-exit rather than capping with a tight fixed TP.
11:34 PM	ttm_scalper	long	29698.50	29692.75	-5.8	$-11.50	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	unlucky	Consider requiring 1-2 bars of HA color confirmation post-flip before entry to filter out immediate re-flips like this one.
11:49 PM	ttm_scalper	long	29700.25	29688.50	-11.8	$-23.50	tick_sl	good_entry	Continue honoring the tick-SL exit on ttm_scalper trades — small controlled losses on valid signals are the cost of staying in the strategy, not a flaw to fix.
12:04 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29699.75	29691.50	-6.9	$-27.50	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	marginal	Require a nonzero score and valid RSI before firing ttm_scalper entries to filter out low-conviction flips.
12:44 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29696.75	29696.75	0.0	$0.00	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	unlucky	On flat/no-follow-through TTM flips, consider a minimum-momentum filter (e.g. score/ATR threshold) before entry to avoid scratch trades that tie up risk for zero expectancy.
01:34 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29705.00	29717.50	12.5	$25.00	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	good_exit	Trust the momentum-flip exit even when it's well short of the TP target — locking in +12.5pts beats risking a reversal.
02:34 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29714.50	29734.00	19.5	$39.00	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	good_exit	Keep exiting on the counter-signal flip instead of holding for the unrealistic 500pt TP.
03:39 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29737.25	29736.25	-1.0	$-2.00	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	unlucky	A quick opposite ha_flip after entry is often just chop; consider a minimum hold or confirmation bar before honoring the redx2 exit on marginal-score entries.
03:59 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29749.25	29777.50	15.4	$61.50	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	good_exit	Entries with score 0.0 and missing RSI shouldn't be trusted as repeatable edge even when they pay off.
04:49 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29791.75	29804.75	13.0	$26.00	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	good_exit	When ttm_scalper's ha_flip reverses in your favor, take the fast exit rather than holding for the full TP target.
06:04 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29824.50	29836.00	11.5	$23.00	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	good_exit	Let ttm_scalper's own flip-exit do its job — it converted a marginal-score (0.0) setup into a paid trade instead of a loser.
06:44 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29840.75	29822.50	-18.3	$-36.50	tick_sl	good_entry	No changes needed; the setup and stop were sound, this was just a losing trade within expected variance.
07:04 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29822.00	29647.25	-174.8	$-349.50	tick_sl	unlucky	No structural entry error to fix here — track whether ttm_scalper's SL distance is appropriately sized for MNQ ATR conditions like this one.
07:29 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29810.50	29829.75	19.3	$38.50	ttm_ha_flip_redx2	good_exit	Trust the ttm reverse-flip exit signal on scalps—it locked in gains rather than letting a winner round-trip.
08:24 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29842.00	29855.25	13.3	$26.50	event_flatten:Core CPI m/m	good_exit	Keep the pre-news auto-flatten rule — it converted a live winning trade into a locked profit instead of letting CPI volatility decide the outcome.
09:34 AM	ttm_scalper	short	29874.25	29920.25	-46.0	$-92.00	tick_sl	good_exit	Treat score 0.0/rsi-None entries as low-confidence and consider skipping or sizing down until score-weighting is fixed.
09:49 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29961.50	29916.50	-45.0	$-90.00	tick_sl	unlucky	Require a nonzero confluence score (not just the raw trigger) before firing ttm_scalper entries to filter out low-conviction flips.
09:59 AM	ttm_scalper	short	29907.50	29904.50	3.0	$6.00	ttm_profit_floor peaked+58.8pt locked+3.0pt	good_exit	When a trend trade opens a large unrealized gain, use a wider or ATR-scaled trailing floor instead of one that locks in a near-scratch after a 55+pt runup.
10:14 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29892.50	29886.25	-6.3	$-12.50	ttm_profit_floor peaked+53.0pt locked-6.2pt	good_exit	With a 53pt run-up locked to a 6pt giveback, consider tightening the profit-floor trail after a strong initial surge to bank more of the peak gain.
10:44 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29925.00	29886.50	-38.5	$-77.00	tick_sl	marginal	Skip or downsize ttm_scalper entries when score=0.0 and RSI is unavailable — require at least one confluence signal before firing.
11:14 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29881.00	29847.50	-33.5	$-67.00	tick_sl	unlucky	Keep taking this exact ha_green_flip/swingLow trigger; a quick stop-out on a valid signal is the cost of the edge, not a reason to filter it out.
11:54 AM	ttm_scalper	long	29835.25	29647.25	-188.0	$-376.00	tick_sl	good_entry	Tighten tick_sl on ttm_scalper entries so a failed scalp costs a fraction of this, not 188 points.
12:29 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29874.00	29888.50	-14.5	$-29.00	ttm_ha_flip_greenx2	unlucky	Consider requiring a minimum hold/ATR buffer before honoring a 2-bar flip exit to reduce whipsaw stop-outs on valid squeeze entries.
12:49 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29896.75	29906.00	-9.3	$-18.50	ttm_ha_flip_greenx2	unlucky	Require at least one confirming filter (RSI/score above threshold) before taking ttm_scalper entries with zero score.
01:14 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29911.75	29909.25	2.5	$5.00	ttm_ha_flip_greenx2	good_exit	Don't count score=0.0/no-RSI signals as high-conviction entries even when they work out — the exit discipline saved this one, not the entry logic.
01:54 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29907.50	29921.00	-13.5	$-27.00	tick_sl	unlucky	Widen the tick_sl on ttm_scalper shorts to roughly 1.5-2x ATR so normal chop doesn't stop out a correctly-timed entry.
02:59 PM	ttm_scalper	short	29890.25	29845.75	44.5	$89.00	eod_flatten(15:45 ET, now 15:45)	good_exit	When a scalp is still working into the 15:45 flatten window, let the systematic exit take the win rather than trying to time a better one.

Recent Sessions

Date	Trades	Win%	PF	Net P/L
2026-08-12	34	35.3%	0.29	$-1150.00
2026-08-11	28	21.4%	0.4	$-741.50
2026-08-10	18	16.7%	0.03	$-1030.00
2026-08-07	15	26.7%	0.05	$-512.00
2026-08-06	25	32%	1.07	$52.00
2026-08-05	19	26.3%	0.32	$-440.50
2026-08-04	16	31.2%	5.55	$1641.00
2026-08-03	23	30.4%	0.67	$-244.00
2026-07-31	25	36%	0.67	$-303.00
2026-07-30	62	54.8%	1.1	$102.50
2026-07-29	49	49%	0.14	$-3827.00
2026-07-28	68	51.5%	39.88	$41254.50
2026-07-27	49	59.2%	1.25	$152.00
2026-07-24	54	48.1%	0.68	$-305.50
2026-07-23	53	49.1%	0.88	$-94.00
2026-07-22	31	51.6%	0.65	$-157.50
2026-07-21	49	38.8%	0.31	$-1243.50
2026-07-20	15	46.7%	0.3	$-502.50
2026-07-17	11	36.4%	0.42	$-202.00
2026-07-16	72	43.1%	0.5	$-696.50
2026-07-15	46	65.2%	1.44	$361.50
2026-07-14	212	49.5%	0.84	$-445.00
2026-07-13	57	64.9%	1.26	$133.50
2026-07-03	39	35.9%	0.62	$-188.00
2026-07-02	77	36.4%	0.91	$-67.00
2026-07-01	45	37.8%	0.73	$-134.00
2026-06-30	53	39.6%	0.84	$-120.00
2026-06-29	39	51.3%	1.35	$589.00
2026-06-26	22	54.5%	0.92	$-139.00
2026-06-25	54	42.6%	1.08	$110.00