Trading Report

Session 2026-07-17 · signal_gen MNQ · updated daily after 17:00 ET

down, high-vol, MNQ move -431.0pt, range 811.8pt

Net P/L

$-202.00

Trades

Win rate

36.4%

Profit factor

0.42

Best / Worst

$105.00 / $-105.50

Avg hold

8.8m

Day Summary

down (-374pt over the session), dominant regime R4; strategy mix {'selloff': 4, 'ict': 7}

Down session (-374pt, R4 downtrend) went net $-202 on 11 trades: the ICT long strategy fought the prevailing downtrend and lost $-155.5 across 7 trades, saved from worse only by fast flip/loss-cut exits; the selloff strategy split cleanly between profitable trend-following shorts (RSI30 covers, +$123.5) and losing counter-trend rebound longs (weak_daily_low exits, -$170). Selloff signals also logged score/rsi as 0.0, making entry quality unauditable for that half of the session.

- Gate or size-down ICT long entries when regime is R4 (strong downtrend) — the strategy is repeatedly buying into a falling market and relying on quick stops to limit damage instead of avoiding the trade. - Keep taking selloff shorts (working well) but stop or tighten the rebound-long leg — require a higher-low/reclaim of the liquidity-sweep level instead of acting on a bare RSI-30 cross. - Fix selloff strategy logging so score/rsi are recorded at trigger time, not zeroed, so entry quality can actually be reviewed.

SPX Close Prediction · from 0DTE option flow (GEX/P-C) · butterfly body

Predicted close

7460.0

Range (wings)

7460.0 – 7465.0

Actual close

7457.7

Error

2.3 pt

Butterfly: center the body near 7460.0, wings around 7460.0/7465.0. Per-source levels — v82: 7460.0/7465.0 · v83: 7460.0/7460.0 · v51a: 7463.2/7453.2.

Date	Predicted	Range	Actual	Error (pt)
2026-08-12	7747.5	7745.0 – 7753.2	7748.5	1.0
2026-08-11	7720.0	7720.0 – 7725.0	7722.5	2.5
2026-08-10	7750.0	7750.0 – 7750.0	7749.8	0.2
2026-08-07	7756.6	7750.0 – 7760.0	7758.1	1.5
2026-08-06	7707.5	7705.0 – 7710.0	7710.1	2.6
2026-08-05	7729.9	7730.0 – 7735.0	7731.9	2.0
2026-08-04	7742.5	7736.5 – 7745.0	7736.5	6.0
2026-08-03	7597.5	7500.0 – 7602.0	7598.8	1.3
2026-07-31	7488.3	7400.0 – 7500.0	7489.8	1.5
2026-07-30	7438.7	7410.0 – 7440.0	7438.0	0.7
2026-07-29	7309.9	7312.4 – 7325.0	7314.4	4.5
2026-07-28	7427.5	7425.0 – 7430.0	7428.9	1.4
2026-07-27	7412.5	7405.0 – 7415.0	7413.0	0.5
2026-07-24	7410.0	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.5	1.5
2026-07-23	7406.1	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.1	2.0

Market Analysis

Instrument	Close	Change	%	Range	Trend	Support	Resistance	Note
SPX	7457.69	10.2	0.14%	67.2	rangebound	7460	7465	S&P 500 cash index (Yahoo); GEX walls 7460.0/7465.0
ES	7494.75	-78.0	-1.03%	102.0	down	—	—	S&P 500 future (Yahoo ES=F)
NQ/MNQ	28772.00	-431.0	-1.48%	811.8	down	—	—	Nasdaq-100 future MNQU6
NDX	28592.66	135.3	0.48%	636.1	up	—	—	Nasdaq-100 cash index (Yahoo)

Signals vs Orders

Signals taken

150

Suppressed

228

Gate vetoes

Time	Dir	Module	Suppressed by	Hypo +15m	Hypo +60m	Detail
06:17 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=26 (eve)
06:18 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-47.50	$-130.50	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
06:19 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=29 (eve)
06:20 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=25 (eve)
06:21 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=30 (eve)
06:22 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=23 (eve)
06:23 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=29 (eve)
06:24 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-27.00	$-148.50	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
06:28 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=26 (eve)
06:29 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=22 (eve)
06:30 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=20 (eve)
06:31 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=19 (eve)
06:32 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=17 (eve)
06:33 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-46.00	$-175.50	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
06:34 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$47.00	$143.50	-1 bear[R] <29176/vwap29208 rsi47 macd-0.3 ttm-8
06:35 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$11.50	$152.00	-1 bear[R] <29176/vwap29208 rsi40 macd-0.2 ttm-14
06:36 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$16.50	$148.50	-1 bear[R] <29175/vwap29208 rsi37 macd-0.2 ttm-15
06:41 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$42.00	$54.50	-1 bear[RT] <29173/vwap29208 rsi44 macd1.7 ttm-4
06:42 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.151 vs 0.15	$22.00	$44.00	-1 bear[RT] <29172/vwap29208 rsi36 macd1.1 ttm-10
06:43 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.156 vs 0.15	$9.50	$45.00	-1 bear[RT] <29172/vwap29208 rsi32 macd0.5 ttm-13
06:46 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$26.00	$90.00	-1 bear[RT] <29170/vwap29208 rsi46 macd1.1 ttm-2
06:48 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$2.00	$92.50	-1 bear[RT] <29168/vwap29208 rsi45 macd1.3 ttm-3
06:50 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.151 vs 0.15	$5.50	$22.00	-1 bear[RMT] <29167/vwap29208 rsi32 macd-0.1 ttm-16
06:52 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$10.00	$54.00	-1 bear[M] <29164/vwap29208 rsi40 macd-0.0 ttm-11
06:53 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$22.50	$48.50	-1 bear[M] <29162/vwap29208 rsi36 macd-0.4 ttm-15
06:54 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$20.00	$32.50	-1 bear[M] <29161/vwap29208 rsi34 macd-0.7 ttm-17
06:59 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$4.00	$-71.00	+1 bullish_div px29125<29116 rsi32<35
06:59 PM	long	+1	sc02_gate p=0.136 vs 0.15	$4.00	$-71.00	+1 dbl_bottom 29125/29116 rsi32->35
07:00 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-15.50	$-25.00	+1 bullish_div px29125<29116 rsi32<35
07:00 PM	long	+1	sc02_gate p=0.122 vs 0.15	$-15.50	$-25.00	+1 dbl_bottom 29125/29116 rsi32->35
07:01 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.186 vs 0.15	$10.50	$65.00	-1 bear[R] <29150/vwap29208 rsi48 macd1.1 ttm-4
07:01 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-10.50	$-65.00	+1 bullish_div px29125<29116 rsi32<35
07:02 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-18.50	$-40.00	+1 bullish_div px29125<29116 rsi32<35
07:06 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.177 vs 0.15	$40.00	$98.50	-1 bear[RT] <29144/vwap29208 rsi38 macd1.3 ttm-7
07:07 PM	long	+1	sc02_gate p=0.118 vs 0.15	$-54.00	$-128.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29116/29118 rsi35->48
07:08 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$59.00	$112.50	-1 bear[RT] <29142/vwap29208 rsi42 macd0.7 ttm-4
07:17 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$107.50	$105.00	-1 bear[RT] <29135/vwap29208 rsi49 macd1.2 ttm-2
07:18 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$102.00	$137.00	-1 bear[RT] <29134/vwap29208 rsi43 macd0.9 ttm-6
07:19 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.160 vs 0.15	$60.50	$126.00	-1 bear[RM] <29134/vwap29208 rsi32 macd-0.1 ttm-16
07:20 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$86.50	$109.50	-1 bear[M] <29133/vwap29208 rsi33 macd-0.6 ttm-15
07:21 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$82.50	$135.00	-1 bear[M] <29133/vwap29208 rsi30 macd-1.0 ttm-17
07:27 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=23 (eve)
07:28 PM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.7	$28.50	$-149.50	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
07:32 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=28 (eve)
07:33 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=21 (eve)
07:34 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=20 (eve)
07:35 PM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.7	$74.50	$-161.50	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
07:36 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=29 (eve)
07:37 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=28 (eve)
07:38 PM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.7	$68.50	$-101.00	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
07:46 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.163 vs 0.15	$-6.00	$127.50	-1 bear[R] <29109/vwap29203 rsi45 macd3.6 ttm3
07:50 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$17.00	$96.50	-1 dbl_top 29129/29114 rsi86->61
08:19 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.244 vs 0.15	$63.00	$58.50	-1 bear[R] <29093/vwap29155 rsi42 macd0.2 ttm-21
08:20 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.221 vs 0.15	$96.00	$50.50	-1 bear[RM] <29092/vwap29155 rsi39 macd-0.1 ttm-24
08:22 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.263 vs 0.15	$71.00	$41.50	-1 bear[M] <29089/vwap29155 rsi37 macd-0.3 ttm-25
08:23 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.269 vs 0.15	$34.50	$37.00	-1 bear[M] <29087/vwap29155 rsi35 macd-0.9 ttm-26
08:25 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.252 vs 0.15	$66.50	$35.50	-1 bear[M] <29084/vwap29155 rsi40 macd-0.3 ttm-17
08:26 PM	long	+1	ms_gate trend=-1 ev=- run=3	$-68.00	$-50.00	+1 dbl_bottom 29031/29030 rsi32->35
08:27 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.238 vs 0.15	$39.50	$34.50	-1 bear[M] <29081/vwap29155 rsi36 macd-0.7 ttm-21
08:29 PM	long	+1	ms_gate trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN run=3	$10.00	$34.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29031/29030 rsi32->35
08:37 PM	long	+1	ms_gate trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN run=4	$123.50	$10.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29030/29008 rsi35->36
08:38 PM	long	+1	ms_gate trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN run=4	$112.50	$-9.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29030/29008 rsi35->36
08:42 PM	long	+1	sc02_gate p=0.148 vs 0.15	$137.50	$-33.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29008/28999 rsi36->34
08:43 PM	long	+1	ms_gate trend=-1 ev=- run=6	$109.50	$-55.00	+1 dbl_bottom 29008/28999 rsi36->34
08:44 PM	long	+1	ms_gate trend=-1 ev=- run=6	$97.50	$-79.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29008/28999 rsi36->34
08:49 PM	long	+1	sc02_gate p=0.133 vs 0.15	$120.00	$-133.00	+1 dbl_bottom 28999/28997 rsi34->44
09:07 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.266 vs 0.15	$78.00	$190.50	-1 dbl_top 29082/29106 rsi78->79
09:08 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.267 vs 0.15	$73.00	$191.00	-1 dbl_top 29082/29106 rsi78->79
09:10 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.264 vs 0.15	$71.50	$199.00	-1 dbl_top 29082/29106 rsi78->79
09:20 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=30 (eve)
09:21 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=29 (eve)
09:26 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-72.50	$-193.50	+1 bullish_div px29025<29012 rsi30<34
09:27 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-51.50	$-183.00	+1 bullish_div px29025<29012 rsi30<34
09:28 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-60.00	$-149.50	+1 bullish_div px29025<29012 rsi30<34
09:29 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-117.50	$-203.50	+1 bullish_div px29025<29012 rsi30<34
09:29 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-117.50	$-203.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29025/29012 rsi30->34
09:35 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=26 (eve)
09:39 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-91.00	$-173.50	+1 bullish_div px29012<28983 rsi34<42
09:40 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-75.00	$-144.50	+1 bullish_div px29012<28983 rsi34<42
09:41 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-70.00	$-153.50	+1 bullish_div px29012<28983 rsi34<42
09:42 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-17.50	$-148.50	+1 bullish_div px29012<28983 rsi34<42
09:45 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=26 (eve)
09:46 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=24 (eve)
09:47 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=23 (eve)
09:50 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.268 vs 0.15	$-30.00	$107.50	-1 bear[R] <29023/vwap29142 rsi34 macd-0.8 ttm-30
09:51 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.269 vs 0.15	$-13.50	$82.50	-1 bear[R] <29021/vwap29141 rsi33 macd-1.1 ttm-29
10:02 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.224 vs 0.15	$18.00	$76.50	-1 bear[RT] <28997/vwap29137 rsi45 macd3.3 ttm-3
10:07 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.192 vs 0.15	$67.50	$27.50	-1 bear[RT] <28991/vwap29138 rsi43 macd2.8 ttm-2
10:08 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.187 vs 0.15	$68.50	$21.00	-1 bear[RT] <28990/vwap29138 rsi40 macd2.0 ttm-5
10:09 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.174 vs 0.15	$60.50	$15.00	-1 bear[RT] <28988/vwap29138 rsi35 macd1.0 ttm-9
10:11 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.173 vs 0.15	$66.00	$11.00	-1 bear[M] <28986/vwap29138 rsi38 macd-0.2 ttm-9
10:14 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.183 vs 0.15	$66.50	$15.00	-1 bear[R] <28982/vwap29136 rsi46 macd0.6 ttm-5
10:15 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.175 vs 0.15	$79.00	$-11.50	-1 bear[R] <28981/vwap29135 rsi40 macd0.4 ttm-9
10:16 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$71.50	$-21.00	-1 bear[R] <28979/vwap29135 rsi38 macd0.1 ttm-11
10:19 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$68.50	$-71.50	-1 bear[M] <28976/vwap29131 rsi30 macd-0.4 ttm-19
10:20 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$64.50	$-80.50	-1 bear[M] <28974/vwap29130 rsi34 macd-0.7 ttm-16
10:42 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$-14.50	$-85.00	-1 bear[RT] <28945/vwap29091 rsi47 macd1.4 ttm-5
10:43 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.154 vs 0.15	$-37.00	$-79.00	-1 bear[RT] <28944/vwap29090 rsi40 macd1.2 ttm-11
10:49 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.209 vs 0.15	$-63.50	$-57.00	-1 bear[RT] <28940/vwap29083 rsi38 macd1.8 ttm-9
10:50 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.171 vs 0.15	$-69.00	$-28.50	-1 bear[RT] <28939/vwap29082 rsi43 macd1.3 ttm-4
10:51 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.168 vs 0.15	$-87.50	$-54.00	-1 bear[RT] <28937/vwap29081 rsi37 macd0.5 ttm-10
10:53 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.173 vs 0.15	$-86.50	$-28.00	-1 bear[T] <28935/vwap29079 rsi41 macd0.2 ttm-8
10:54 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$-78.50	$-15.00	-1 bear[T] <28934/vwap29079 rsi44 macd0.1 ttm-6
10:55 PM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$-93.00	$-27.50	-1 bear[MT] <28932/vwap29078 rsi39 macd-0.2 ttm-10
10:59 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$52.50	$-35.00	+1 bullish_div px28904<28894 rsi28<43
11:01 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$79.50	$-80.00	+1 bullish_div px28904<28894 rsi28<43
11:02 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.171 vs 0.15	$-105.00	$86.00	-1 bear[RT] <28926/vwap29071 rsi48 macd1.9 ttm-1
11:02 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$105.00	$-86.00	+1 bullish_div px28904<28894 rsi28<43
11:31 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.177 vs 0.15	$100.50	$378.00	-1 dbl_top 29018/29026 rsi96->83
11:32 PM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.183 vs 0.15	$100.50	$378.00	-1 dbl_top 29018/29026 rsi96->83
11:56 PM	—	-1	?	—	—	-1 ribbon_stack_dn(age=1)
11:58 PM	long	+1	sc02_gate p=0.103 vs 0.15	$-137.50	$-199.50	+1 dbl_bottom 28926/28915 rsi16->32
11:59 PM	long	+1	sc02_gate p=0.096 vs 0.15	$-142.50	$-231.50	+1 dbl_bottom 28926/28915 rsi16->32
12:01 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-76.00	$-200.50	+1 bullish_div px28926<28915 rsi16<32
12:22 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.289 vs 0.15	$87.50	$70.50	-1 bear[R] <28900/vwap28968 rsi34 macd0.7 ttm-26
12:23 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.286 vs 0.15	$100.50	$75.00	-1 bear[R] <28897/vwap28968 rsi35 macd0.4 ttm-22
12:58 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.186 vs 0.15	$10.00	$127.50	-1 bear[RT] <28825/vwap28953 rsi38 macd1.7 ttm-4
12:59 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.186 vs 0.15	$30.50	$123.00	-1 bear[RT] <28824/vwap28953 rsi43 macd0.7 ttm-2
01:00 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.198 vs 0.15	$26.50	$88.00	-1 bear[RMT] <28823/vwap28952 rsi35 macd-0.7 ttm-14
01:01 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.196 vs 0.15	$-25.50	$103.50	-1 bear[M] <28822/vwap28952 rsi30 macd-2.0 ttm-21
01:06 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.245 vs 0.15	$-2.00	$91.50	-1 bear[R] <28817/vwap28950 rsi38 macd-2.1 ttm-24
01:07 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.246 vs 0.15	$-14.00	$112.50	-1 bear[R] <28815/vwap28950 rsi36 macd-2.5 ttm-26
01:12 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.210 vs 0.15	$13.50	$68.50	-1 bear[R] <28811/vwap28949 rsi40 macd-0.4 ttm-17
01:13 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.217 vs 0.15	$-3.00	$62.50	-1 bear[R] <28810/vwap28948 rsi38 macd-0.7 ttm-17
01:15 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.214 vs 0.15	$13.50	$71.50	-1 bear[RT] <28809/vwap28948 rsi49 macd0.4 ttm-4
01:16 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.227 vs 0.15	$-6.50	$40.50	-1 bear[RT] <28808/vwap28948 rsi42 macd0.0 ttm-11
03:07 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.193 vs 0.15	$45.00	$91.50	-1 bear[R] <28776/vwap28895 rsi48 macd3.0 ttm4
03:08 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.226 vs 0.15	$35.50	$78.50	-1 bear[RT] <28775/vwap28894 rsi40 macd2.0 ttm-5
03:09 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.217 vs 0.15	$31.50	$54.00	-1 bear[RT] <28775/vwap28894 rsi34 macd0.9 ttm-12
03:10 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.221 vs 0.15	$24.00	$112.00	-1 bear[T] <28774/vwap28893 rsi33 macd0.2 ttm-12
03:11 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=29 (eve)
03:12 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.236 vs 0.15	$-34.00	$109.50	-1 bear[M] <28771/vwap28892 rsi35 macd-0.8 ttm-12
03:14 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.230 vs 0.15	$-24.50	$115.50	-1 bear[RT] <28769/vwap28891 rsi44 macd0.1 ttm-6
03:21 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.211 vs 0.15	$41.00	$293.50	-1 bear[RT] <28760/vwap28887 rsi40 macd1.7 ttm-7
03:22 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.207 vs 0.15	$24.50	$269.50	-1 bear[RT] <28758/vwap28886 rsi33 macd0.3 ttm-16
03:23 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.224 vs 0.15	$20.50	$234.50	-1 bear[RMT] <28757/vwap28886 rsi31 macd-0.7 ttm-16
03:24 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=28 (eve)
03:25 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=25 (eve)
03:34 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.200 vs 0.15	$51.00	$302.50	-1 bear[RT] <28746/vwap28879 rsi38 macd1.2 ttm-9
03:36 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=27 (eve)
03:37 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=28 (eve)
03:38 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=27 (eve)
03:39 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=27 (eve)
03:41 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=26 (eve)
03:42 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=23 (eve)
03:43 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=20 (eve)
03:45 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.221 vs 0.15	$33.00	$228.50	-1 dbl_top 28760/28730 rsi65->26
03:46 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=27 (eve)
03:47 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=27 (eve)
03:50 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$36.50	$-217.50	+1 dbl_bottom 28708/28688 rsi27->27
03:53 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-7.00	$-182.00	+1 dbl_bottom 28708/28688 rsi27->27
03:57 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.232 vs 0.15	$52.00	$112.00	-1 bear[RT] <28727/vwap28866 rsi45 macd1.4 ttm-5
03:58 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.242 vs 0.15	$29.00	$117.00	-1 bear[RT] <28726/vwap28865 rsi35 macd0.5 ttm-16
03:59 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-26.50	$-127.00	+1 dbl_bottom 28688/28698 rsi27->43
04:00 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.238 vs 0.15	$53.50	$109.00	-1 bear[M] <28724/vwap28864 rsi32 macd-0.4 ttm-18
04:04 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.230 vs 0.15	$223.00	$128.00	-1 bear[RT] <28722/vwap28861 rsi49 macd2.5 ttm-1
04:08 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.383 vs 0.15	$188.00	$125.00	-1 bear[RT] <28719/vwap28858 rsi46 macd2.7 ttm-2
04:09 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.241 vs 0.15	$206.00	$106.00	-1 bear[RT] <28718/vwap28858 rsi45 macd1.6 ttm-4
04:10 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.231 vs 0.15	$239.00	$120.00	-1 bear[RT] <28717/vwap28857 rsi49 macd1.3 ttm1
04:11 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.306 vs 0.15	$137.00	$71.00	-1 bear[MT] <28716/vwap28856 rsi33 macd-0.9 ttm-28
04:12 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.284 vs 0.15	$108.50	$53.50	-1 bear[MT] <28715/vwap28855 rsi31 macd-2.6 ttm-31
04:13 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.278 vs 0.15	$99.00	$37.50	-1 bear[MT] <28714/vwap28855 rsi34 macd-3.2 ttm-26
04:24 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-79.50	$114.00	+1 oversold_bounce(rsi) rsi12->39 ttm_min-99
04:27 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-78.50	$151.00	+1 oversold_bounce(rsi) rsi12->45 ttm_min-99
04:30 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.274 vs 0.15	$13.00	$-150.00	-1 bear[R] <28673/vwap28835 rsi44 macd3.4 ttm-19
04:32 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.284 vs 0.15	$-49.00	$-173.50	-1 bear[R] <28669/vwap28834 rsi34 macd2.1 ttm-33
04:53 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.204 vs 0.15	$-97.50	$-242.50	-1 bear[R] <28620/vwap28819 rsi49 macd4.3 ttm7
05:35 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.176 vs 0.15	$-89.50	$-260.50	-1 dbl_top 28676/28695 rsi79->59
05:37 AM	short	-1	trend_gate td=+1	$-71.50	$-242.00	-1 dbl_top 28676/28695 rsi79->59
05:38 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.170 vs 0.15	$-83.00	$-267.50	-1 dbl_top 28676/28695 rsi79->59
05:56 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
06:03 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-125.50	$-128.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
06:10 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-5.50	$-42.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
06:11 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-11.50	$-64.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
06:12 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-30.50	$-57.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
06:13 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-53.50	$-52.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
06:14 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-55.00	$-26.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
06:15 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-22.00	$18.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=83
06:16 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-6.00	$47.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=85
06:17 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$27.50	$73.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=87
06:18 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-4.50	$63.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
06:19 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-28.00	$55.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
06:20 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-73.00	$59.00	-1 head_shoulders
06:21 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-91.00	$44.00	-1 head_shoulders
06:22 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-120.50	$-18.50	-1 head_shoulders
06:23 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-121.50	$0.50	-1 head_shoulders
06:32 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-62.50	$61.50	-1 head_shoulders
06:32 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-62.50	$61.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
06:33 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-64.00	$39.50	-1 head_shoulders
06:34 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-31.00	$68.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
06:34 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-31.00	$68.50	-1 head_shoulders
06:35 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.00	$52.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
06:36 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$5.50	$73.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=84
06:37 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$25.00	$93.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=81
06:38 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$7.00	$91.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
06:39 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$27.50	$114.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
06:40 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$43.00	$118.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=86
06:41 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$34.50	$142.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=81
06:42 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$69.50	$172.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
06:43 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$35.50	$141.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
06:45 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-4.00	$144.50	-1 bearish_div px28780>28826 rsi83>82
06:46 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-3.00	$146.00	-1 bearish_div px28780>28826 rsi83>82
06:47 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$16.50	$149.00	-1 bearish_div px28780>28826 rsi83>82
06:48 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$74.50	$125.00	-1 bearish_div px28780>28826 rsi83>82
06:52 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$70.00	$99.50	-1 head_shoulders
06:53 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$73.50	$94.00	-1 head_shoulders
06:54 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$85.50	$75.50	-1 head_shoulders
06:55 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$65.50	$92.00	-1 head_shoulders
07:00 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$65.00	$100.00	-1 head_shoulders
07:01 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$104.00	$155.50	-1 head_shoulders
07:25 AM	long	+1	ms_gate trend=-1 ev=- run=4	$13.50	$-118.00	+1 dbl_bottom 28750/28728 rsi28->35
07:27 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$67.00	$200.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
07:28 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-76.00	$-193.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=42
07:30 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-45.00	$-155.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=54
07:30 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-45.00	$-155.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=54
07:30 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-45.00	$-155.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=54
07:30 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-45.00	$-155.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=54
07:36 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-40.50	$-157.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=45
07:36 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-40.50	$-157.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=45
07:36 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-40.50	$-157.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=45
07:36 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-40.50	$-157.00	+1 ha_long 1m-HA×SMA50 cross-up rsi5=45
09:55 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.370 vs 0.15	$-525.00	$-405.00	-1 short5m 5m-HA<SMA50 downtrend rsi5=53
09:56 AM	short	-1	sc02_gate p=0.338 vs 0.15	$-467.00	$-298.00	-1 short5m 5m-HA<SMA50 downtrend rsi5=53
10:16 AM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
02:03 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-153.00	$-138.00	+1 ha_long pullback-flip rsi5=33 sl=39.8
02:03 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-153.00	$-138.00	+1 ha_long pullback-flip rsi5=33 sl=39.8
02:03 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-153.00	$-138.00	+1 ha_long pullback-flip rsi5=33 sl=39.8
02:03 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-153.00	$-138.00	+1 ha_long pullback-flip rsi5=33 sl=39.8

Missed Opportunities & Trend Check

Window	aiprediction	Our result	Move	Missed $	Reason	Note
session	bullish	loss	-431.0	—	trend_day_not_captured	aiprediction trend=bullish, actual MNQ move=-431.0pt (down); our session net=$-202.0 (loss)
gate_vetoes	bullish	suppressed	—	$6467.00	sc02_gate_suppression	80 gate-vetoed signals; $6467.0 of +60m hypothetical upside skipped (gate also avoids losers -- net effect tracked separately)

Trades (11)

Entry	Strat	Dir	In	Out	Pts	P/L	Exit	Grade	Lesson
11:35 PM	ict	long	28993.50	28977.75	-15.8	$-31.50	trend_flip_long	good_exit	Require a stronger score/RSI threshold before entry, since the flip-exit logic is already doing its job containing weak entries cheaply.
01:07 AM	ict	long	28796.00	28803.50	7.5	$15.00	trend_ride_end:htf_flip	good_exit	Keep exiting on htf_flip signals promptly rather than holding for a bigger target once momentum reverses.
01:09 AM	ict	long	28804.75	28808.00	3.3	$6.50	trend_ride_end:htf_flip	good_exit	On a mean-reversion long into HTF downtrend, treat any gain as a gift and exit on the first trend-flip signal rather than holding for more.
01:20 AM	selloff	short	28792.00	28782.75	9.3	$18.50	selloff_rsi30_cover	good_exit	When RSI-based cover fires early in a favorable move, letting the trade breathe toward the 500pt TP (with a trailing stop) could capture more of the move instead of capping gains at ~9pts.
01:49 AM	selloff	long	28766.50	28734.25	-32.3	$-64.50	selloff_rebound_exit:weak_daily_low	unlucky	On weak-daily-low selloff rebounds, consider confirming with a higher-low or reclaim of the sweep level before entering, rather than acting on the RSI cross alone.
06:43 AM	ict	long	28807.25	28791.75	-15.5	$-31.00	ha10s_loss_cut	good_exit	Keep the fast loss-cut active on ICT longs — it's converting what would be larger stop-outs into small, quick losses.
06:46 AM	ict	long	28804.00	28793.75	-10.3	$-20.50	reversal_flip_long	marginal	Don't lean on ICT/RSI structure alone when MACD is already rolling opposite direction; treat that divergence as a size-down or skip signal.
06:56 AM	ict	long	28798.50	28782.00	-16.5	$-33.00	trend_flip_long	good_exit	Tighten the entry threshold on borderline ICT signals near 50-52 score, since the fast flip-exit is doing damage control the entry filter should be doing.
07:00 AM	ict	long	28803.00	28772.50	-30.5	$-61.00	tick_sl	marginal	Require MACD to confirm (positive/rising) before taking ICT retest longs, not just price and RSI.
07:39 AM	selloff	short	28750.25	28697.75	52.5	$105.00	selloff_rsi30_cover	good_exit	Fix the logging so score/rsi aren't zeroed out at trigger time — you can't audit entry quality without real signal values.
08:54 AM	selloff	long	28672.50	28619.75	-52.8	$-105.50	selloff_rebound_exit:weak_daily_low	mistake	Don't take counter-trend rebound entries when score/rsi read 0.0 — require real confluence data before fading an active selloff.

Recent Sessions

Date	Trades	Win%	PF	Net P/L
2026-08-12	34	35.3%	0.29	$-1150.00
2026-08-11	28	21.4%	0.4	$-741.50
2026-08-10	18	16.7%	0.03	$-1030.00
2026-08-07	15	26.7%	0.05	$-512.00
2026-08-06	25	32%	1.07	$52.00
2026-08-05	19	26.3%	0.32	$-440.50
2026-08-04	16	31.2%	5.55	$1641.00
2026-08-03	23	30.4%	0.67	$-244.00
2026-07-31	25	36%	0.67	$-303.00
2026-07-30	62	54.8%	1.1	$102.50
2026-07-29	49	49%	0.14	$-3827.00
2026-07-28	68	51.5%	39.88	$41254.50
2026-07-27	49	59.2%	1.25	$152.00
2026-07-24	54	48.1%	0.68	$-305.50
2026-07-23	53	49.1%	0.88	$-94.00
2026-07-22	31	51.6%	0.65	$-157.50
2026-07-21	49	38.8%	0.31	$-1243.50
2026-07-20	15	46.7%	0.3	$-502.50
2026-07-17	11	36.4%	0.42	$-202.00
2026-07-16	72	43.1%	0.5	$-696.50
2026-07-15	46	65.2%	1.44	$361.50
2026-07-14	212	49.5%	0.84	$-445.00
2026-07-13	57	64.9%	1.26	$133.50
2026-07-03	39	35.9%	0.62	$-188.00
2026-07-02	77	36.4%	0.91	$-67.00
2026-07-01	45	37.8%	0.73	$-134.00
2026-06-30	53	39.6%	0.84	$-120.00
2026-06-29	39	51.3%	1.35	$589.00
2026-06-26	22	54.5%	0.92	$-139.00
2026-06-25	54	42.6%	1.08	$110.00