Trading Report

Session 2026-07-15 · signal_gen MNQ · updated daily after 17:00 ET

Events: ASML earnings (pre-market); Core PPI m/m; PPI m/m; Fed Chairman Warsh Testifies

down, high-vol, MNQ move -85.0pt, range 662.2pt

Net P/L

$361.50

Trades

Win rate

65.2%

Profit factor

1.44

Best / Worst

$444.00 / $-186.50

Avg hold

7.6m

Day Summary

down (-113pt over the session), dominant regime R4; strategy mix {'selloff': 45, 'ict': 1}

SPX Close Prediction · from 0DTE option flow (GEX/P-C) · butterfly body

Predicted close

7570.0

Range (wings)

7560.0 – 7575.0

Actual close

7572.8

Error

2.8 pt

Butterfly: center the body near 7570.0, wings around 7560.0/7575.0. Per-source levels — v82: 7570.0/7570.0 · v83: 7560.0/7575.0 · v51a: 7576.5/7571.5.

Date	Predicted	Range	Actual	Error (pt)
2026-08-12	7747.5	7745.0 – 7753.2	7748.5	1.0
2026-08-11	7720.0	7720.0 – 7725.0	7722.5	2.5
2026-08-10	7750.0	7750.0 – 7750.0	7749.8	0.2
2026-08-07	7756.6	7750.0 – 7760.0	7758.1	1.5
2026-08-06	7707.5	7705.0 – 7710.0	7710.1	2.6
2026-08-05	7729.9	7730.0 – 7735.0	7731.9	2.0
2026-08-04	7742.5	7736.5 – 7745.0	7736.5	6.0
2026-08-03	7597.5	7500.0 – 7602.0	7598.8	1.3
2026-07-31	7488.3	7400.0 – 7500.0	7489.8	1.5
2026-07-30	7438.7	7410.0 – 7440.0	7438.0	0.7
2026-07-29	7309.9	7312.4 – 7325.0	7314.4	4.5
2026-07-28	7427.5	7425.0 – 7430.0	7428.9	1.4
2026-07-27	7412.5	7405.0 – 7415.0	7413.0	0.5
2026-07-24	7410.0	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.5	1.5
2026-07-23	7406.1	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.1	2.0

Market Analysis

Instrument	Close	Change	%	Range	Trend	Support	Resistance	Note
SPX	7572.40	0.7	0.01%	54.5	rangebound	7570	7570	S&P 500 cash index (Yahoo); GEX walls 7570.0/7570.0
ES	7616.00	26.3	0.35%	54.5	up	—	—	S&P 500 future (Yahoo ES=F)
NQ/MNQ	29717.00	-85.0	-0.28%	662.3	down	—	—	Nasdaq-100 future MNQU6
NDX	29502.60	-257.2	-0.86%	579.0	down	—	—	Nasdaq-100 cash index (Yahoo)

Signals vs Orders

Signals taken

147

Suppressed

192

Gate vetoes

Time	Dir	Module	Suppressed by	Hypo +15m	Hypo +60m	Detail
06:07 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-12.00	$-12.00	+1 dbl_bottom 29786/29779 rsi30->32
06:10 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=28 (eve)
06:10 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$28.00	$26.50	+1 bullish_div px29786<29779 rsi30<33
06:10 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$28.00	$26.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29786/29779 rsi30->32
06:11 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=21 (eve)
06:12 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=15 (eve)
06:13 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=14 (eve)
06:14 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$55.00	$67.50	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
07:35 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-13.50	$-46.00	-1 bearish_div px29857>29882 rsi91>79
07:35 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-13.50	$-46.00	-1 dbl_top 29857/29882 rsi91->79
07:36 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-10.00	$-30.50	-1 bearish_div px29857>29882 rsi91>79
07:37 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-25.00	$-8.50	-1 bearish_div px29857>29882 rsi91>79
07:37 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-25.00	$-8.50	-1 dbl_top 29857/29882 rsi91->79
07:37 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-25.00	$-8.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
07:38 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-28.50	$-36.50	-1 bearish_div px29857>29882 rsi91>79
07:39 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-54.50	$-47.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
07:46 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-34.50	$-63.50	-1 head_shoulders
07:47 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-20.00	$-61.50	-1 head_shoulders
07:48 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-12.00	$-29.00	-1 head_shoulders
07:49 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$19.00	$-19.50	-1 head_shoulders
07:52 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$33.00	$-69.50	-1 head_shoulders
07:52 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$33.00	$-69.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
07:53 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$32.00	$-49.00	-1 head_shoulders
07:54 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$31.00	$-46.50	-1 head_shoulders
07:55 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$26.00	$-41.00	-1 head_shoulders
07:58 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.00	$-84.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
08:01 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-64.00	$-58.00	-1 bearish_div px29878>29900 rsi68>61
08:02 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-50.50	$-33.00	-1 bearish_div px29878>29900 rsi68>61
08:03 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-74.00	$-7.00	-1 bearish_div px29878>29900 rsi68>61
08:04 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-56.50	$-29.00	-1 bearish_div px29878>29900 rsi68>61
08:14 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-46.50	$17.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
08:15 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-70.50	$-42.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
08:19 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$10.00	$-14.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
08:20 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$23.50	$-0.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
08:21 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$81.00	$33.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
08:22 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$90.00	$-5.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
08:28 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$126.00	$-39.50	-1 head_shoulders
08:29 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$118.50	$-7.50	-1 head_shoulders
08:30 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$91.00	$-1.00	-1 dbl_top 29934/29926 rsi80->60
08:30 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$91.00	$-1.00	-1 head_shoulders
08:31 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$84.50	$-8.00	-1 head_shoulders
08:31 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$84.50	$-8.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
08:32 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$69.00	$-14.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
08:35 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$11.50	$-44.50	-1 head_shoulders
08:36 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-32.50	$-70.00	-1 head_shoulders
08:58 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$72.00	$-67.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
08:59 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$78.50	$-70.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
09:00 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$34.50	$-58.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
09:01 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-21.00	$-106.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
09:21 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-46.00	$-127.50	-1 head_shoulders
09:22 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-61.50	$-141.50	-1 head_shoulders
09:23 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-38.00	$-96.00	-1 head_shoulders
09:27 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$60.50	$-69.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
09:28 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$53.00	$-70.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
09:29 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$73.00	$-79.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
09:34 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$2.50	$-109.00	-1 dbl_top 29918/29942 rsi67->69
09:59 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-27.00	$-17.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
10:00 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-8.50	$6.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
10:01 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-16.00	$-11.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
10:02 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-39.50	$-34.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
10:06 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-3.00	$9.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
10:07 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-26.50	$12.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
10:08 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$1.00	$20.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
10:09 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$12.00	$16.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
10:10 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$8.50	$26.50	-1 bearish_div px29961>29974 rsi80>70
10:10 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$8.50	$26.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
10:11 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$18.50	$42.50	-1 bearish_div px29961>29974 rsi80>70
10:11 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$18.50	$42.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
10:12 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-2.00	$30.00	-1 bearish_div px29961>29974 rsi80>70
10:12 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-2.00	$30.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
10:13 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$23.00	$48.00	-1 bearish_div px29961>29974 rsi80>70
10:13 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$23.00	$48.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
10:14 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-6.50	$15.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
10:17 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.50	$-24.00	-1 bearish_div px29974>29982 rsi70>58
10:18 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-17.00	$-8.50	-1 bearish_div px29974>29982 rsi70>58
10:19 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$6.00	$-4.00	-1 bearish_div px29974>29982 rsi70>58
10:20 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-15.00	$-10.00	-1 bearish_div px29974>29982 rsi70>58
10:38 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$25.50	$-35.00	-1 head_shoulders
10:39 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$20.00	$-28.00	-1 head_shoulders
10:40 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$12.50	$-18.50	-1 head_shoulders
10:41 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$21.50	$-32.00	-1 head_shoulders
10:50 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$42.00	$-75.00	-1 head_shoulders
11:18 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-38.50	$-67.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
11:19 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-37.00	$-67.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
11:20 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-27.50	$-61.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
11:21 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-35.00	$-63.00	-1 head_shoulders
11:21 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-35.00	$-63.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
11:22 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-39.00	$-74.00	-1 head_shoulders
11:23 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-48.00	$-77.00	-1 head_shoulders
11:24 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-45.00	$-81.00	-1 head_shoulders
11:29 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-16.00	$-21.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
11:30 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-25.00	$-17.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
11:31 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-15.50	$-8.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
11:32 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.50	$-19.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=70
11:33 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-18.00	$-14.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
11:34 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-34.00	$11.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
11:35 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-45.00	$-6.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
11:36 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-37.50	$-8.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
11:37 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-45.00	$-15.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
11:38 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-46.50	$-28.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
11:39 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-34.50	$-17.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
11:40 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-46.00	$-28.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
11:45 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-53.00	$-34.00	-1 bearish_div px29981>30002 rsi71>70
11:46 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-37.50	$-34.00	-1 bearish_div px29981>30002 rsi71>70
11:47 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-34.00	$-36.50	-1 bearish_div px29981>30002 rsi71>70
11:48 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-30.50	$-30.50	-1 bearish_div px29981>30002 rsi71>70
11:50 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$16.00	$3.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
11:51 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$21.50	$13.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
11:52 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$23.00	$-2.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
11:53 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$34.00	$1.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
11:54 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$35.00	$3.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=74
11:55 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$26.50	$4.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
11:56 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$21.00	$12.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
11:57 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$26.50	$16.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
11:58 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$18.00	$0.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
12:16 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$23.50	$-8.00	-1 head_shoulders
12:17 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$24.00	$-17.50	-1 head_shoulders
12:18 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$22.00	$-14.50	-1 head_shoulders
12:19 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$40.00	$-15.00	-1 head_shoulders
12:27 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-3.50	$55.00	-1 head_shoulders
01:06 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$6.50	$-44.50	-1 dbl_top 30017/30051 rsi66->55
02:35 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-11.50	$94.00	-1 dbl_top 30042/30042 rsi66->43
02:37 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$7.00	$114.00	-1 dbl_top 30042/30042 rsi66->43
08:00 AM	short	-1	event_blackout:ASML earnings (pre-market	$44.50	$-138.00	-1 bear[RT] <29925/vwap29943 rsi37 macd0.1 ttm-11
08:03 AM	short	-1	qqq_er_blackout:ASML ASML earnings (pre-market	$42.50	$-146.50	-1 bear[M] <29923/vwap29942 rsi35 macd-0.8 ttm-11
08:17 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$106.50	$119.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29877/29874 rsi16->33
08:19 AM	short	-1	qqq_er_blackout:ASML ASML earnings (pre-market	$-114.00	$-137.50	-1 bear[R] <29911/vwap29932 rsi42 macd1.1 ttm-7
08:29 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$151.50	$188.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29874/29856 rsi33->32
08:30 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$134.50	$150.50	+1 dbl_bottom 29874/29856 rsi33->32
08:49 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$41.50	$-363.50	+1 bull[M] >29908/vwap29925 rsi68 macd0.3 ttm28
09:01 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$75.50	$254.50	-1 dbl_top 29974/29996 rsi74->70
09:02 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$52.00	$269.50	-1 dbl_top 29974/29996 rsi74->70
09:03 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$50.50	$238.50	-1 dbl_top 29974/29996 rsi74->70
09:36 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$319.00	$587.50	-1 bear[RT] <29962/vwap29936 rsi36 macd-1.5 ttm-27
09:37 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$277.00	$629.50	-1 bear[RT] <29962/vwap29936 rsi44 macd-1.5 ttm-14
11:54 AM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$-152.50	$-192.50	+1 rsi_cross_up_30
12:42 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$139.00	$399.00	+1 dbl_bottom 29431/29408 rsi24->24
12:45 PM	long	+1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=-1	$165.50	$380.00	+1 dbl_bottom 29408/29397 rsi24->44
01:41 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-124.50	$-140.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
01:57 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-67.50	$129.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
01:58 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-52.00	$191.50	-1 head_shoulders
01:59 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-35.00	$174.50	-1 head_shoulders
02:00 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-32.50	$155.50	-1 head_shoulders
02:00 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-32.50	$155.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
02:01 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$2.50	$139.50	-1 head_shoulders
02:03 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$25.00	$131.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
02:04 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$9.00	$111.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
02:05 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-28.50	$91.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
02:07 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-13.00	$141.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
02:08 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-40.00	$148.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
02:11 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-14.00	$185.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
02:12 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-11.00	$161.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
02:13 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-16.00	$151.00	-1 dbl_top 29706/29725 rsi85->72
02:13 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-16.00	$151.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
02:17 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-82.50	$118.00	-1 bearish_div px29706>29730 rsi85>64
02:18 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-49.50	$146.50	-1 bearish_div px29706>29730 rsi85>64
02:19 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-49.50	$160.50	-1 bearish_div px29706>29730 rsi85>64
02:19 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-49.50	$160.50	-1 dbl_top 29725/29730 rsi72->64
02:20 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-14.00	$196.00	-1 bearish_div px29706>29730 rsi85>64
02:24 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$98.50	$268.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
02:25 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$84.00	$276.50	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
02:27 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$110.00	$215.50	-1 head_shoulders
02:28 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$115.50	$199.00	-1 head_shoulders
02:29 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$139.50	$170.50	-1 head_shoulders
02:30 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$132.00	$126.50	-1 head_shoulders
03:07 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$131.50	$-108.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
03:08 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$93.00	$-126.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
03:10 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$77.50	$-124.50	-1 bear[R] <29674/vwap29689 rsi45 macd4.9 ttm5
03:12 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$16.00	$-134.50	-1 bear[R] <29671/vwap29689 rsi44 macd3.4 ttm1
03:14 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$3.50	$-112.50	-1 bear[R] <29667/vwap29689 rsi53 macd3.2 ttm12
03:16 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-40.00	$-119.00	-1 dbl_top 29669/29656 rsi71->54
03:17 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$26.50	$-129.50	-1 dbl_top 29669/29656 rsi71->54
03:18 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$15.50	$-145.50	-1 dbl_top 29669/29656 rsi71->54
03:19 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$7.00	$-166.00	-1 bear[T] <29658/vwap29688 rsi37 macd0.1 ttm-11
03:20 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-29.50	$-197.00	-1 bear[M] <29655/vwap29688 rsi30 macd-1.1 ttm-23
03:26 PM	—	-1	?	—	—	-1 ribbon_stack_dn(age=1)
03:31 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-12.00	$-107.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
03:32 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-1.50	$-103.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
03:33 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-59.00	$-176.00	-1 bear[RT] <29633/vwap29685 rsi44 macd4.4 ttm-4
03:33 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-59.00	$-176.00	-1 ict_short sweep>29656 reclaim29622 rsi44 div
03:33 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-59.00	$-176.00	-1 rsi_cross_down_70
03:34 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-126.50	$-163.00	-1 bear[RT] <29632/vwap29685 rsi47 macd3.2 ttm1
03:35 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-81.50	$-174.00	-1 bear[RT] <29631/vwap29685 rsi46 macd2.1 ttm0
03:36 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-84.50	$-157.50	-1 head_shoulders
03:36 PM	—	-1	?	—	—	-1 ribbon_stack_dn(age=1)
03:37 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-68.50	$-139.50	-1 head_shoulders
03:38 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-70.00	$-143.00	-1 head_shoulders
03:41 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-59.50	$-83.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=75
03:42 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-30.50	$-68.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
03:43 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-32.50	$-64.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
03:44 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-50.00	$-63.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
03:45 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-53.00	$-74.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71

Missed Opportunities & Trend Check

Window	aiprediction	Our result	Move	Missed $	Reason	Note
session	bullish	profit	-85.0	—	ok	aiprediction trend=bullish, actual MNQ move=-85.0pt (down); our session net=$361.5 (profit)

Trades (46)

Entry	Strat	Dir	In	Out	Pts	P/L	Exit	Grade
06:16 PM	ict	long	29766.25	29766.50	0.3	$0.50	trend_ride_end:htf_flip	—
06:42 PM	selloff	short	29779.75	29873.00	-93.3	$-186.50	selloff_cutloss_thesis_invalidated	—
07:46 PM	selloff	long	29856.25	29864.00	7.8	$15.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.0pt gaveback_to+7.8pt	—
07:48 PM	selloff	long	29871.25	29882.25	11.0	$22.00	be_lock_tick peaked+21.5pt gaveback_to+11.0pt	—
08:09 PM	selloff	long	29867.75	29877.50	9.8	$19.50	be_lock_tick peaked+18.8pt gaveback_to+9.8pt	—
08:10 PM	selloff	long	29879.75	29888.75	9.0	$18.00	be_lock_tick peaked+17.2pt gaveback_to+9.0pt	—
08:12 PM	selloff	long	29891.25	29899.00	7.8	$15.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.2pt gaveback_to+7.8pt	—
08:40 PM	selloff	long	29897.50	29863.25	-34.3	$-68.50	llm_rescue_exit:Both EMAs lost, HA flipped red, 5m momen	—
08:50 PM	selloff	long	29892.50	29900.75	8.3	$16.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.2pt gaveback_to+8.2pt	—
08:52 PM	selloff	long	29906.75	29918.50	11.8	$23.50	be_lock_tick peaked+23.2pt gaveback_to+11.8pt	—
09:06 PM	selloff	long	29891.50	29871.50	-20.0	$-40.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
09:08 PM	selloff	long	29876.75	29865.00	-11.8	$-23.50	llm_rescue_exit:5m TREND DOWN vs LONG, dbl_top rejection	—
09:14 PM	selloff	long	29886.75	29898.25	11.5	$23.00	be_lock_tick peaked+31.0pt gaveback_to+11.5pt	—
09:38 PM	selloff	long	29936.00	29908.75	-27.3	$-54.50	tick_sl	—
09:51 PM	selloff	long	29926.50	30006.50	74.0	$444.00	tick_tp	—
05:46 AM	selloff	short	29940.00	29896.75	43.3	$86.50	selloff_rsi30_cover	—
06:34 AM	selloff	long	29898.75	29923.00	24.3	$48.50	selloff_rebound_exit:weak_daily_low	—
07:13 AM	selloff	short	29927.00	29934.00	-7.0	$-14.00	llm_rescue_exit:HA flipped green vs short, price reclaim	—
08:19 AM	selloff	short	29881.25	29858.75	22.5	$45.00	rsi_extreme_exit(rsi=19)	—
08:46 AM	selloff	short	29944.25	29960.50	-16.3	$-32.50	ha10s_loss_cut	—
09:24 AM	selloff	long	29949.75	29959.25	9.5	$19.00	be_lock_tick peaked+21.8pt gaveback_to+9.5pt	—
10:11 AM	selloff	short	29845.25	29828.25	17.0	$34.00	be_lock_tick peaked+26.2pt gaveback_to+17.0pt	—
10:14 AM	selloff	short	29803.75	29799.25	4.5	$9.00	be_lock_tick peaked+15.8pt gaveback_to+4.5pt	—
10:15 AM	selloff	short	29799.50	29812.75	-13.3	$-26.50	ha10s_loss_cut	—
10:16 AM	selloff	short	29812.25	29805.50	6.8	$13.50	be_lock_tick peaked+15.2pt gaveback_to+6.8pt	—
10:51 AM	selloff	short	29603.25	29615.25	-12.0	$-24.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
10:58 AM	selloff	short	29606.00	29638.50	-32.5	$-65.00	tick_sl	—
11:00 AM	selloff	short	29614.75	29609.00	5.8	$11.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.5pt gaveback_to+5.8pt	—
11:01 AM	selloff	short	29593.25	29614.25	-21.0	$-42.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
11:12 AM	selloff	short	29613.00	29626.75	-13.8	$-27.50	ha10s_loss_cut	—
11:13 AM	selloff	short	29614.50	29573.50	41.0	$82.00	rsi_extreme_exit(rsi=28)	—
11:20 AM	selloff	short	29596.50	29591.25	5.3	$10.50	be_lock_tick peaked+21.5pt gaveback_to+5.2pt	—
11:21 AM	selloff	short	29576.50	29570.25	6.3	$12.50	be_lock_tick peaked+15.5pt gaveback_to+6.2pt	—
11:22 AM	selloff	short	29559.00	29552.00	7.0	$14.00	be_lock_tick peaked+15.8pt gaveback_to+7.0pt	—
11:43 AM	selloff	short	29621.50	29614.00	7.5	$15.00	be_lock_tick peaked+16.0pt gaveback_to+7.5pt	—
11:44 AM	selloff	short	29615.25	29608.00	7.3	$14.50	be_lock_tick peaked+17.5pt gaveback_to+7.2pt	—
12:31 PM	selloff	short	29457.00	29449.25	7.8	$15.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.0pt gaveback_to+7.8pt	—
12:33 PM	selloff	short	29445.75	29434.75	11.0	$22.00	be_lock_tick peaked+19.2pt gaveback_to+11.0pt	—
12:56 PM	selloff	short	29467.25	29497.75	-30.5	$-61.00	tick_sl	—
01:11 PM	selloff	short	29542.50	29534.50	8.0	$16.00	be_lock_tick peaked+16.0pt gaveback_to+8.0pt	—
01:16 PM	selloff	short	29544.25	29574.25	-30.0	$-60.00	tick_sl	—
02:20 PM	selloff	long	29713.75	29725.25	11.5	$23.00	be_lock_tick peaked+19.5pt gaveback_to+11.5pt	—
02:22 PM	selloff	long	29728.75	29694.25	-34.5	$-69.00	tick_sl	—
02:57 PM	selloff	long	29623.75	29610.75	-13.0	$-26.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
02:59 PM	selloff	long	29611.25	29648.00	36.8	$73.50	be_lock_tick peaked+44.8pt gaveback_to+36.8pt	—
03:03 PM	selloff	long	29644.25	29653.50	9.3	$18.50	be_lock_tick peaked+17.5pt gaveback_to+9.2pt	—

Recent Sessions

Date	Trades	Win%	PF	Net P/L
2026-08-12	34	35.3%	0.29	$-1150.00
2026-08-11	28	21.4%	0.4	$-741.50
2026-08-10	18	16.7%	0.03	$-1030.00
2026-08-07	15	26.7%	0.05	$-512.00
2026-08-06	25	32%	1.07	$52.00
2026-08-05	19	26.3%	0.32	$-440.50
2026-08-04	16	31.2%	5.55	$1641.00
2026-08-03	23	30.4%	0.67	$-244.00
2026-07-31	25	36%	0.67	$-303.00
2026-07-30	62	54.8%	1.1	$102.50
2026-07-29	49	49%	0.14	$-3827.00
2026-07-28	68	51.5%	39.88	$41254.50
2026-07-27	49	59.2%	1.25	$152.00
2026-07-24	54	48.1%	0.68	$-305.50
2026-07-23	53	49.1%	0.88	$-94.00
2026-07-22	31	51.6%	0.65	$-157.50
2026-07-21	49	38.8%	0.31	$-1243.50
2026-07-20	15	46.7%	0.3	$-502.50
2026-07-17	11	36.4%	0.42	$-202.00
2026-07-16	72	43.1%	0.5	$-696.50
2026-07-15	46	65.2%	1.44	$361.50
2026-07-14	212	49.5%	0.84	$-445.00
2026-07-13	57	64.9%	1.26	$133.50
2026-07-03	39	35.9%	0.62	$-188.00
2026-07-02	77	36.4%	0.91	$-67.00
2026-07-01	45	37.8%	0.73	$-134.00
2026-06-30	53	39.6%	0.84	$-120.00
2026-06-29	39	51.3%	1.35	$589.00
2026-06-26	22	54.5%	0.92	$-139.00
2026-06-25	54	42.6%	1.08	$110.00