Session 2026-07-03 · signal_gen MNQ · updated daily after 17:00 ET
Butterfly: center the body near 7480.0, wings around 7470.0/7485.7. Per-source levels — v82: 7480.0/7480.0 · v83: 7470.0/7470.0 · v51a: 7480.7/7485.7.
| Date | Predicted | Range | Actual | Error (pt) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 7807.5 | 7805.0 – 7810.0 | 7806.5 | 1.0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 7810.0 | 7810.0 – 7810.0 | 7810.5 | 0.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7765.0 | 7765.0 – 7765.0 | 7766.8 | 1.8 |
| 2026-10-07 | 7800.0 | 7785.0 – 7805.0 | 7801.5 | 1.5 |
| 2026-10-06 | 7820.0 | 7816.0 – 7825.9 | 7819.2 | 0.8 |
| 2026-10-05 | 7775.0 | 7771.7 – 7776.6 | 7773.9 | 1.1 |
| 2026-10-02 | 7722.5 | 7693.4 – 7743.0 | 7722.9 | 0.4 |
| 2026-10-01 | 7665.6 | 7663.1 – 7670.0 | 7665.1 | 0.5 |
| 2026-09-30 | 7662.5 | 7648.1 – 7665.0 | 7652.6 | 9.9 |
| 2026-09-29 | 7672.5 | 7665.0 – 7680.0 | 7669.3 | 3.2 |
| 2026-09-28 | 7685.0 | 7682.9 – 7687.9 | 7683.9 | 1.1 |
| 2026-09-25 | 7740.9 | 7670.0 – 7745.0 | 7743.6 | 2.7 |
| 2026-09-24 | 7705.0 | 7702.6 – 7707.6 | 7704.4 | 0.6 |
| 2026-09-23 | 7702.5 | 7700.0 – 7708.4 | 7704.9 | 2.5 |
| 2026-09-22 | 7765.5 | 7765.0 – 7770.0 | 7765.5 | 0.0 |
| Instrument | Close | Change | % | Range | Trend | Support | Resistance | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES | 7557.00 | 33.3 | 0.44% | 41.5 | up | — | — | S&P 500 future (Yahoo ES=F) |
| NQ/MNQ | 29903.50 | 327.3 | 1.11% | 431.8 | up | — | — | Nasdaq-100 future MNQU6 |
| Time | Dir | Module | Suppressed by | Hypo +15m | Hypo +60m | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:38 PM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-7.50 | $21.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=72 |
| 06:44 PM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $0.50 | $91.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=76 |
| 07:06 PM | long | +1 | cooldown 51s<60s | $-62.50 | $-42.50 | +1 rsi_fade long rsi=24 (eve) | llm-ok |
| 08:15 PM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $152.50 | $-94.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=71 |
| 08:16 PM | — | +1 | ? | — | — | +1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1) |
| 09:11 PM | — | +1 | ? | — | — | +1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1) |
| 09:23 PM | long | +1 | news_gate BEARISH c=0.6 | $-53.00 | $78.50 | +1 golden_cross sma50x200 |
| 09:24 PM | long | +1 | cooldown 34s<60s | $3.50 | $111.50 | +1 golden_cross sma50x200 |
| 09:25 PM | long | +1 | news_gate BEARISH c=0.6 | $5.00 | $111.00 | +1 golden_cross sma50x200 |
| 09:26 PM | long | +1 | news_gate BEARISH c=0.6 | $29.00 | $126.00 | +1 golden_cross sma50x200 |
| 10:12 PM | long | +1 | cooldown 21s<30s | $47.00 | $76.00 | +1 llm_trigger HA green x13, RSI cooled 80->56 into EMA13, buy |
| 10:29 PM | long | +1 | cooldown 17s<30s | $-8.00 | $65.00 | +1 llm_trigger overseer:Strong 5m/1m uptrend, HA green x13, pri |
| 11:17 PM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-23.00 | $-67.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=78 |
| 11:18 PM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-12.00 | $-68.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=79 |
| 11:58 PM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-28.00 | $-81.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=73 |
| 11:59 PM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-37.00 | $-75.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=73 |
| 12:22 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-13.00 | $-24.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=90 |
| 12:23 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-18.50 | $-17.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=80 |
| 12:24 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-26.50 | $-27.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=82 |
| 12:25 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-19.50 | $-19.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=88 |
| 12:28 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-20.50 | $-26.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=79 |
| 12:29 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-12.50 | $-21.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=80 |
| 03:25 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $19.00 | $21.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=72 |
| 03:27 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $46.50 | $49.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=77 |
| 04:39 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $30.00 | $-28.50 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=73 |
| 08:07 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $77.50 | $34.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=73 |
| 08:51 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $9.00 | $-60.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=76 |
| 09:21 AM | short | -1 | counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1 | $-30.50 | $39.00 | -1 rsi_fade short rsi=73 |
| Window | aiprediction | Our result | Move | Missed $ | Reason | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| session | bullish | loss | 327.2 | — | missed_up_trend | aiprediction trend=bullish, actual MNQ move=327.2pt (up); our session net=$-188.0 (loss) |
| Entry | Strat | Dir | In | Out | Pts | P/L | Exit | Grade | Lesson |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:12 PM | llm | long | 29580.25 | 29587.50 | 7.3 | $14.50 | be_lock_tick peaked+15.5pt gaveback_to+7.2pt | — | |
| 06:29 PM | llm | long | 29579.75 | 29569.75 | -10.0 | $-20.00 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 06:31 PM | llm | long | 29574.75 | 29596.75 | 22.0 | $44.00 | be_lock_tick peaked+33.0pt gaveback_to+22.0pt | — | |
| 06:59 PM | llm | long | 29617.75 | 29613.75 | -4.0 | $-8.00 | ha10s_loss_cut | — | |
| 07:00 PM | llm | long | 29615.00 | 29599.00 | -16.0 | $-32.00 | tick_sl | — | |
| 07:29 PM | llm | long | 29602.50 | 29594.00 | -8.5 | $-17.00 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 07:31 PM | llm | long | 29592.25 | 29600.00 | 7.8 | $15.50 | be_lock_tick peaked+16.0pt gaveback_to+7.8pt | — | |
| 07:35 PM | llm | long | 29612.00 | 29607.00 | -5.0 | $-10.00 | ha10s_loss_cut | — | |
| 07:36 PM | llm | long | 29606.25 | 29601.75 | -4.5 | $-9.00 | ha10s_loss_cut | — | |
| 07:58 PM | llm | long | 29602.25 | 29615.75 | 13.5 | $27.00 | be_lock_tick peaked+34.0pt gaveback_to+13.5pt | — | |
| 08:25 PM | selloff | short | 29573.50 | 29541.50 | 32.0 | $64.00 | overseer_cover | — | |
| 08:35 PM | ribbon | short | 29559.75 | 29559.75 | 0.0 | $0.00 | overseer_cover | — | |
| 09:18 PM | trend_ma | long | 29664.00 | 29670.75 | 6.8 | $13.50 | be_lock_tick peaked+16.2pt gaveback_to+6.8pt | — | |
| 09:26 PM | trend_ma | long | 29663.25 | 29648.75 | -14.5 | $-29.00 | ha10s_loss_cut | — | |
| 09:45 PM | llm | long | 29666.25 | 29676.75 | 10.5 | $21.00 | be_lock_tick peaked+24.5pt gaveback_to+10.5pt | — | |
| 10:05 PM | llm | long | 29695.75 | 29707.75 | 12.0 | $24.00 | be_lock_tick peaked+21.0pt gaveback_to+12.0pt | — | |
| 10:17 PM | llm | long | 29711.50 | 29718.75 | 7.3 | $14.50 | be_lock_tick peaked+16.5pt gaveback_to+7.2pt | — | |
| 10:29 PM | llm | long | 29729.25 | 29716.50 | -12.8 | $-25.50 | ha10s_loss_cut | — | |
| 10:45 PM | llm | long | 29729.00 | 29738.50 | 9.5 | $19.00 | be_lock_tick peaked+19.0pt gaveback_to+9.5pt | — | |
| 11:07 PM | llm | long | 29736.50 | 29736.50 | 0.0 | $0.00 | llm_rescue_exit:HA red x4 bars, lost EMA13, sitting on E | — | |
| 11:29 PM | llm | long | 29760.00 | 29746.50 | -13.5 | $-27.00 | ha10s_loss_cut | — | |
| 11:49 PM | llm | long | 29751.50 | 29743.25 | -8.3 | $-16.50 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 12:52 AM | llm | long | 29812.75 | 29800.25 | -12.5 | $-25.00 | ha10s_loss_cut | — | |
| 01:05 AM | llm | long | 29817.25 | 29811.00 | -6.3 | $-12.50 | llm_rescue_exit:CHoCH_DOWN, HA red x3, lost EMA13, 5m tr | — | |
| 01:26 AM | llm | long | 29821.25 | 29812.25 | -9.0 | $-18.00 | overseer_cover | — | |
| 01:38 AM | llm | long | 29829.75 | 29817.75 | -12.0 | $-24.00 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 02:00 AM | llm | long | 29834.50 | 29845.25 | 10.8 | $21.50 | be_lock_tick peaked+52.5pt gaveback_to+10.8pt | — | |
| 08:10 AM | llm | long | 29908.75 | 29881.50 | -27.3 | $-54.50 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 08:29 AM | llm | long | 29884.50 | 29886.25 | 1.8 | $3.50 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 08:31 AM | llm | long | 29885.00 | 29884.00 | -1.0 | $-2.00 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 08:39 AM | llm | long | 29892.25 | 29889.50 | -2.8 | $-5.50 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 08:59 AM | llm | long | 29902.50 | 29909.75 | 7.3 | $14.50 | be_lock_tick peaked+15.2pt gaveback_to+7.2pt | — | |
| 09:00 AM | llm | long | 29911.50 | 29890.75 | -20.8 | $-41.50 | tick_sl | — | |
| 09:35 AM | llm | long | 29935.25 | 29909.75 | -25.5 | $-51.00 | tick_sl | — | |
| 10:28 AM | llm | long | 29910.25 | 29907.00 | -3.3 | $-6.50 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 10:50 AM | llm | long | 29916.25 | 29908.75 | -7.5 | $-15.00 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 11:18 AM | llm | long | 29916.75 | 29912.25 | -4.5 | $-9.00 | sma50_touch | — | |
| 11:40 AM | trend_ma | short | 29894.50 | 29891.25 | 3.3 | $6.50 | rsi_extreme_exit(rsi=28) | — | |
| 12:45 PM | ribbon | long | 29919.50 | 29903.25 | -16.3 | $-32.50 | overseer_cover | — |
Market: MNQ day window: low 29871.75 high 29954.75 range 83.00 (526 1-min bars)
Signals: none
Trades: 0 round trips (0 wins / 0 losses) | A/B: scalper(real) net est $0 vs managed-shadow(sim) realized $0 / equity $0
P/L: FIFO net est $0.00 from fill lines — duplicate-echo fills may skew; broker statement is authoritative
Incidents: none
| Date | Trades | Win% | PF | Net P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 1 | 100% | — | $50.50 |
| 2026-10-09 | 1 | 0% | 0 | $-134.50 |
| 2026-10-08 | 1 | 0% | 0 | $-162.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | 1 | 0% | 0 | $-159.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | 1 | 100% | — | $234.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | 1 | 0% | 0 | $-251.50 |
| 2026-09-30 | 1 | 0% | 0 | $-42.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | 7 | 0% | 0 | $-405.50 |
| 2026-09-25 | 7 | 14.3% | 0.02 | $-558.50 |
| 2026-09-24 | 7 | 0% | 0 | $-427.50 |
| 2026-09-16 | 1 | 0% | 0 | $-1055.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | 1 | 0% | 0 | $-164.50 |
| 2026-08-28 | 7 | 14.3% | 0.18 | $-247.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | 8 | 37.5% | 0.52 | $-134.50 |
| 2026-08-26 | 5 | 60% | 2.66 | $207.50 |
| 2026-08-25 | 7 | 42.9% | 0.37 | $-98.50 |
| 2026-08-24 | 6 | 16.7% | 0.34 | $-165.50 |
| 2026-08-21 | 5 | 40% | 0.23 | $-76.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | 16 | 25% | 0.11 | $-503.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | 12 | 8.3% | 0.01 | $-394.50 |
| 2026-08-18 | 22 | 27.3% | 0.75 | $-182.50 |
| 2026-08-17 | 7 | 14.3% | 0.17 | $-210.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | 26 | 15.4% | 0.55 | $-286.50 |
| 2026-08-13 | 19 | 47.4% | 3.21 | $580.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | 34 | 35.3% | 0.29 | $-1150.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | 28 | 21.4% | 0.4 | $-741.50 |
| 2026-08-10 | 18 | 16.7% | 0.03 | $-1030.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | 15 | 26.7% | 0.05 | $-512.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | 25 | 32% | 1.07 | $52.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | 19 | 26.3% | 0.32 | $-440.50 |