Trading Report

Session 2026-07-03 · signal_gen MNQ · updated daily after 17:00 ET

up, high-vol, MNQ move 327.2pt, range 431.8pt

Net P/L

$-188.00

Trades

Win rate

35.9%

Profit factor

0.62

Best / Worst

$64.00 / $-54.50

Avg hold

5.3m

SPX Close Prediction · from 0DTE option flow (GEX/P-C) · butterfly body

Predicted close

7480.0

Range (wings)

7470.0 – 7485.7

Actual close

7482.7

Error

2.7 pt

Butterfly: center the body near 7480.0, wings around 7470.0/7485.7. Per-source levels — v82: 7480.0/7480.0 · v83: 7470.0/7470.0 · v51a: 7480.7/7485.7.

Date	Predicted	Range	Actual	Error (pt)
2026-08-12	7747.5	7745.0 – 7753.2	7748.5	1.0
2026-08-11	7720.0	7720.0 – 7725.0	7722.5	2.5
2026-08-10	7750.0	7750.0 – 7750.0	7749.8	0.2
2026-08-07	7756.6	7750.0 – 7760.0	7758.1	1.5
2026-08-06	7707.5	7705.0 – 7710.0	7710.1	2.6
2026-08-05	7729.9	7730.0 – 7735.0	7731.9	2.0
2026-08-04	7742.5	7736.5 – 7745.0	7736.5	6.0
2026-08-03	7597.5	7500.0 – 7602.0	7598.8	1.3
2026-07-31	7488.3	7400.0 – 7500.0	7489.8	1.5
2026-07-30	7438.7	7410.0 – 7440.0	7438.0	0.7
2026-07-29	7309.9	7312.4 – 7325.0	7314.4	4.5
2026-07-28	7427.5	7425.0 – 7430.0	7428.9	1.4
2026-07-27	7412.5	7405.0 – 7415.0	7413.0	0.5
2026-07-24	7410.0	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.5	1.5
2026-07-23	7406.1	7400.0 – 7410.0	7408.1	2.0

Market Analysis

Instrument	Close	Change	%	Range	Trend	Support	Resistance	Note
ES	7557.00	33.3	0.44%	41.5	up	—	—	S&P 500 future (Yahoo ES=F)
NQ/MNQ	29903.50	327.3	1.11%	431.8	up	—	—	Nasdaq-100 future MNQU6

Signals vs Orders

Signals taken

108

Suppressed

Gate vetoes

Time	Dir	Module	Suppressed by	Hypo +15m	Hypo +60m	Detail
06:38 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-7.50	$21.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
06:44 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$0.50	$91.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
07:06 PM	long	+1	cooldown 51s<60s	$-62.50	$-42.50	+1 rsi_fade long rsi=24 (eve) \| llm-ok
08:15 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$152.50	$-94.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=71
08:16 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
09:11 PM	—	+1	?	—	—	+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
09:23 PM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$-53.00	$78.50	+1 golden_cross sma50x200
09:24 PM	long	+1	cooldown 34s<60s	$3.50	$111.50	+1 golden_cross sma50x200
09:25 PM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$5.00	$111.00	+1 golden_cross sma50x200
09:26 PM	long	+1	news_gate BEARISH c=0.6	$29.00	$126.00	+1 golden_cross sma50x200
10:12 PM	long	+1	cooldown 21s<30s	$47.00	$76.00	+1 llm_trigger HA green x13, RSI cooled 80->56 into EMA13, buy
10:29 PM	long	+1	cooldown 17s<30s	$-8.00	$65.00	+1 llm_trigger overseer:Strong 5m/1m uptrend, HA green x13, pri
11:17 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-23.00	$-67.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
11:18 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-12.00	$-68.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
11:58 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-28.00	$-81.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
11:59 PM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-37.00	$-75.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
12:22 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-13.00	$-24.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=90
12:23 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-18.50	$-17.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
12:24 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-26.50	$-27.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
12:25 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-19.50	$-19.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=88
12:28 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-20.50	$-26.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
12:29 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-12.50	$-21.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=80
03:25 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$19.00	$21.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=72
03:27 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$46.50	$49.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=77
04:39 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$30.00	$-28.50	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
08:07 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$77.50	$34.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
08:51 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$9.00	$-60.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76
09:21 AM	short	-1	counter_trend vs SMA50x200=+1	$-30.50	$39.00	-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73

Missed Opportunities & Trend Check

Window	aiprediction	Our result	Move	Missed $	Reason	Note
session	bullish	loss	327.2	—	missed_up_trend	aiprediction trend=bullish, actual MNQ move=327.2pt (up); our session net=$-188.0 (loss)

Trades (39)

Entry	Strat	Dir	In	Out	Pts	P/L	Exit	Grade
06:12 PM	llm	long	29580.25	29587.50	7.3	$14.50	be_lock_tick peaked+15.5pt gaveback_to+7.2pt	—
06:29 PM	llm	long	29579.75	29569.75	-10.0	$-20.00	sma50_touch	—
06:31 PM	llm	long	29574.75	29596.75	22.0	$44.00	be_lock_tick peaked+33.0pt gaveback_to+22.0pt	—
06:59 PM	llm	long	29617.75	29613.75	-4.0	$-8.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
07:00 PM	llm	long	29615.00	29599.00	-16.0	$-32.00	tick_sl	—
07:29 PM	llm	long	29602.50	29594.00	-8.5	$-17.00	sma50_touch	—
07:31 PM	llm	long	29592.25	29600.00	7.8	$15.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.0pt gaveback_to+7.8pt	—
07:35 PM	llm	long	29612.00	29607.00	-5.0	$-10.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
07:36 PM	llm	long	29606.25	29601.75	-4.5	$-9.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
07:58 PM	llm	long	29602.25	29615.75	13.5	$27.00	be_lock_tick peaked+34.0pt gaveback_to+13.5pt	—
08:25 PM	selloff	short	29573.50	29541.50	32.0	$64.00	overseer_cover	—
08:35 PM	ribbon	short	29559.75	29559.75	0.0	$0.00	overseer_cover	—
09:18 PM	trend_ma	long	29664.00	29670.75	6.8	$13.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.2pt gaveback_to+6.8pt	—
09:26 PM	trend_ma	long	29663.25	29648.75	-14.5	$-29.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
09:45 PM	llm	long	29666.25	29676.75	10.5	$21.00	be_lock_tick peaked+24.5pt gaveback_to+10.5pt	—
10:05 PM	llm	long	29695.75	29707.75	12.0	$24.00	be_lock_tick peaked+21.0pt gaveback_to+12.0pt	—
10:17 PM	llm	long	29711.50	29718.75	7.3	$14.50	be_lock_tick peaked+16.5pt gaveback_to+7.2pt	—
10:29 PM	llm	long	29729.25	29716.50	-12.8	$-25.50	ha10s_loss_cut	—
10:45 PM	llm	long	29729.00	29738.50	9.5	$19.00	be_lock_tick peaked+19.0pt gaveback_to+9.5pt	—
11:07 PM	llm	long	29736.50	29736.50	0.0	$0.00	llm_rescue_exit:HA red x4 bars, lost EMA13, sitting on E	—
11:29 PM	llm	long	29760.00	29746.50	-13.5	$-27.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
11:49 PM	llm	long	29751.50	29743.25	-8.3	$-16.50	sma50_touch	—
12:52 AM	llm	long	29812.75	29800.25	-12.5	$-25.00	ha10s_loss_cut	—
01:05 AM	llm	long	29817.25	29811.00	-6.3	$-12.50	llm_rescue_exit:CHoCH_DOWN, HA red x3, lost EMA13, 5m tr	—
01:26 AM	llm	long	29821.25	29812.25	-9.0	$-18.00	overseer_cover	—
01:38 AM	llm	long	29829.75	29817.75	-12.0	$-24.00	sma50_touch	—
02:00 AM	llm	long	29834.50	29845.25	10.8	$21.50	be_lock_tick peaked+52.5pt gaveback_to+10.8pt	—
08:10 AM	llm	long	29908.75	29881.50	-27.3	$-54.50	sma50_touch	—
08:29 AM	llm	long	29884.50	29886.25	1.8	$3.50	sma50_touch	—
08:31 AM	llm	long	29885.00	29884.00	-1.0	$-2.00	sma50_touch	—
08:39 AM	llm	long	29892.25	29889.50	-2.8	$-5.50	sma50_touch	—
08:59 AM	llm	long	29902.50	29909.75	7.3	$14.50	be_lock_tick peaked+15.2pt gaveback_to+7.2pt	—
09:00 AM	llm	long	29911.50	29890.75	-20.8	$-41.50	tick_sl	—
09:35 AM	llm	long	29935.25	29909.75	-25.5	$-51.00	tick_sl	—
10:28 AM	llm	long	29910.25	29907.00	-3.3	$-6.50	sma50_touch	—
10:50 AM	llm	long	29916.25	29908.75	-7.5	$-15.00	sma50_touch	—
11:18 AM	llm	long	29916.75	29912.25	-4.5	$-9.00	sma50_touch	—
11:40 AM	trend_ma	short	29894.50	29891.25	3.3	$6.50	rsi_extreme_exit(rsi=28)	—
12:45 PM	ribbon	long	29919.50	29903.25	-16.3	$-32.50	overseer_cover	—

QQQ Options (tos_bot)

QQQ Net P/L

$0.00

Round trips

Wins / Losses

0 / 0

Market: MNQ day window: low 29871.75 high 29954.75 range 83.00 (526 1-min bars)

Signals: none

Trades: 0 round trips (0 wins / 0 losses) | A/B: scalper(real) net est $0 vs managed-shadow(sim) realized $0 / equity $0

P/L: FIFO net est $0.00 from fill lines — duplicate-echo fills may skew; broker statement is authoritative

Incidents: none

Recent Sessions

Date	Trades	Win%	PF	Net P/L
2026-08-12	34	35.3%	0.29	$-1150.00
2026-08-11	28	21.4%	0.4	$-741.50
2026-08-10	18	16.7%	0.03	$-1030.00
2026-08-07	15	26.7%	0.05	$-512.00
2026-08-06	25	32%	1.07	$52.00
2026-08-05	19	26.3%	0.32	$-440.50
2026-08-04	16	31.2%	5.55	$1641.00
2026-08-03	23	30.4%	0.67	$-244.00
2026-07-31	25	36%	0.67	$-303.00
2026-07-30	62	54.8%	1.1	$102.50
2026-07-29	49	49%	0.14	$-3827.00
2026-07-28	68	51.5%	39.88	$41254.50
2026-07-27	49	59.2%	1.25	$152.00
2026-07-24	54	48.1%	0.68	$-305.50
2026-07-23	53	49.1%	0.88	$-94.00
2026-07-22	31	51.6%	0.65	$-157.50
2026-07-21	49	38.8%	0.31	$-1243.50
2026-07-20	15	46.7%	0.3	$-502.50
2026-07-17	11	36.4%	0.42	$-202.00
2026-07-16	72	43.1%	0.5	$-696.50
2026-07-15	46	65.2%	1.44	$361.50
2026-07-14	212	49.5%	0.84	$-445.00
2026-07-13	57	64.9%	1.26	$133.50
2026-07-03	39	35.9%	0.62	$-188.00
2026-07-02	77	36.4%	0.91	$-67.00
2026-07-01	45	37.8%	0.73	$-134.00
2026-06-30	53	39.6%	0.84	$-120.00
2026-06-29	39	51.3%	1.35	$589.00
2026-06-26	22	54.5%	0.92	$-139.00
2026-06-25	54	42.6%	1.08	$110.00