Trading Report

Session 2026-06-17 Β· signal_gen MNQ Β· updated daily after 17:00 ET

Events: FOMC rate decision; Federal Funds Rate; FOMC Economic Projections; FOMC Statement; FOMC Press Conference
down, high-vol, MNQ move -183.8pt, range 659.0pt
Net P/L
$229.93
Trades
102
Win rate
37.3%
Profit factor
1.06
Best / Worst
$530.50 / $-368.00
Avg hold
6.1m

Market Analysis

InstrumentCloseChange%RangeTrendSupportResistanceNote
SPX7420.10-104.4-1.39%129.6down74207420S&P 500 cash index (Yahoo); GEX walls 7420.0/7420.0
ES7511.00-70.3-0.93%140.3downβ€”β€”S&P 500 future (Yahoo ES=F)
NQ/MNQ30133.00-183.8-0.61%659.0downβ€”β€”Nasdaq-100 future MNQU6
NDX29670.95-489.8-1.62%604.0downβ€”β€”Nasdaq-100 cash index (Yahoo)

Signals vs Orders

Signals taken
124
Suppressed
7
Gate vetoes
0
TimeDirModuleSuppressed byHypo +15mHypo +60mDetail
12:06 PMβ€”+1?β€”β€”+1 ribbon_stack_up(age=1)
04:20 PMshort-1closed-window 18:00-16:00 ET, now 16:20β€”β€”-1 rsi_fade short rsi=73
04:21 PMshort-1closed-window 18:00-16:00 ET, now 16:21β€”β€”-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
04:22 PMshort-1closed-window 18:00-16:00 ET, now 16:22$-70.50β€”-1 rsi_fade short rsi=79
04:23 PMshort-1closed-window 18:00-16:00 ET, now 16:23$-51.50β€”-1 rsi_fade short rsi=82
04:24 PMshort-1closed-window 18:00-16:00 ET, now 16:24$-53.50β€”-1 rsi_fade short rsi=78
04:41 PMshort-1closed-window 18:00-16:00 ET, now 16:41$35.50β€”-1 rsi_fade short rsi=76

Missed Opportunities & Trend Check

WindowaipredictionOur resultMoveMissed $ReasonNote
sessionbearishprofit-183.8β€”okaiprediction trend=bearish, actual MNQ move=-183.8pt (down); our session net=$229.93 (profit)

Trades (102)

EntryStratDirInOutPtsP/LExitGradeLesson
06:06 PMrsifadeshort30351.7530357.25-5.5$-22.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=- (5.5pt)β€”
06:09 PMrsifadeshort30360.0030370.50-10.5$-42.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (10.5pt)β€”
06:11 PMrsifadeshort30370.5030368.502.0$8.00llm_rescue_exit:BOS_UP confirms structure flip; RSI 82.5β€”
06:13 PMrsifadeshort30367.7530368.25-0.5$-2.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=- (0.5pt)β€”
06:16 PMrsifadeshort30368.5030366.002.5$10.00ha_flip_shortβ€”
06:33 PMrsifadeshort30380.7530377.753.0$12.00ha_flip_shortβ€”
06:44 PMrsifadelong30352.0030358.256.3$25.00ha_flip_longβ€”
06:53 PMrsifadeshort30381.7530383.00-1.3$-5.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (1.2pt)β€”
06:55 PMribbonlong30382.7530358.75-24.0$-48.00llm_rescue_exit:CHOCH_DOWN + price below EMA13, RSI 43, β€”
07:03 PMrsifadelong30359.0030359.250.3$1.00ha_flip_longβ€”
07:07 PMictlong30355.7530362.506.8$27.00ha_flip_longβ€”
07:10 PMrsifadelong30348.0030336.50-11.5$-46.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=CHOCH_DOWN (11.5pt)β€”
07:12 PMrsifadelong30335.5030343.758.3$33.00ha_flip_longβ€”
07:22 PMrsifadelong30328.0030331.253.3$13.00ha_flip_longβ€”
07:25 PMribbonshort30338.0030317.0019.3$38.56avgdown_recoverβ€”
08:01 PMrsifadeshort30366.0030363.502.5$10.00ha_flip_shortβ€”
08:03 PMrsifadeshort30379.2530363.5015.8$31.50ha_flip_shortβ€”
08:12 PMribbonlong30368.2530376.00-15.3$-30.63llm_rescue_exit:CHOCH_DOWN confirmed, price below both Eβ€”
09:08 PMrsifadeshort30405.0030407.75-2.8$-5.50avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=- (2.8pt)β€”
09:23 PMrsifadeshort30415.7530419.75-4.0$-8.00llm_rescue_exit:10-bar uptrend intact, price above both β€”
09:29 PMrsifadeshort30420.0030437.25-7.4$-44.50avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=- (7.4pt)β€”
09:55 PMrsifadeshort30442.0030443.75-1.8$-7.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (1.8pt)β€”
09:57 PMrsifadeshort30447.5030450.50-3.0$-12.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (3.0pt)β€”
10:14 PMrsifadeshort30455.2530458.75-3.5$-7.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (3.5pt)β€”
11:14 PMrsifadelong30433.2530432.75-0.5$-2.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=CHOCH_DOWN (0.5pt)β€”
11:16 PMrsifadelong30424.7530418.50-6.3$-12.50avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (6.2pt)β€”
11:23 PMrsifadelong30418.0030444.7515.8$63.00avgdown_recoverβ€”
11:40 PMribbonlong30444.7530467.0011.8$47.00avgdown_recoverβ€”
12:19 AMrsifadeshort30475.0030478.00-3.0$-12.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (3.0pt)β€”
12:23 AMrsifadeshort30477.0030479.50-2.5$-10.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (2.5pt)β€”
12:33 AMrsifadelong30464.5030512.7534.6$207.50avgdown_recoverβ€”
02:26 AMrsifadelong30492.5030512.5010.0$60.00avgdown_recoverβ€”
02:41 AMrsifadeshort30527.7530535.50-7.8$-31.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=- (7.8pt)β€”
02:58 AMrsifadeshort30543.5030550.00-6.5$-26.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (6.5pt)β€”
03:02 AMrsifadeshort30556.2530556.50-0.3$-1.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (0.2pt)β€”
03:05 AMrsifadeshort30558.7530556.252.5$10.00llm_rescue_exit:BOS_UP structure flip, price above both β€”
03:08 AMrsifadeshort30563.5030562.001.5$6.00llm_rescue_exit:BOS_UP structure flipped against short; β€”
03:11 AMrsifadeshort30576.0030576.75-0.8$-3.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (0.8pt)β€”
03:24 AMrsifadelong30544.2530542.50-1.8$-7.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=CHOCH_DOWN (1.8pt)β€”
04:00 AMrsifadeshort30572.5030571.501.5$9.00be_lock peaked+19.8pt gaveback_to+1.5ptβ€”
04:18 AMrsifadelong30536.5030493.00-45.2$-271.00tick_slβ€”
04:35 AMribbonshort30494.7530483.258.4$50.50avgdown_recoverβ€”
04:46 AMrsifadelong30471.7530469.25-2.5$-10.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (2.5pt)β€”
04:50 AMrsifadelong30465.0030493.2528.3$113.00llm_rescue_exit:CHOCH_DOWN + price below both EMAs, struβ€”
05:50 AMrsifadelong30474.5030471.50-3.0$-12.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (3.0pt)β€”
05:52 AMrsifadelong30470.5030459.25-11.3$-45.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (11.2pt)β€”
05:54 AMrsifadelong30460.5030455.00-5.5$-22.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (5.5pt)β€”
05:56 AMrsifadelong30453.2530450.75-2.5$-10.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=- (2.5pt)β€”
06:01 AMrsifadelong30445.5030430.75-14.8$-59.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (14.8pt)β€”
06:04 AMrsifadelong30437.5030434.50-3.0$-12.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=- (3.0pt)β€”
06:24 AMrsifadeshort30476.5030460.0011.7$70.00avgdown_recoverβ€”
06:44 AMrsifadeshort30484.5030486.25-1.8$-7.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (1.8pt)β€”
06:46 AMrsifadeshort30485.2530480.504.8$19.00llm_rescue_exit:BOS_UP structure flip, price above both β€”
06:58 AMrsifadelong30456.2530447.25-9.0$-36.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=CHOCH_DOWN (9.0pt)β€”
07:02 AMrsifadelong30446.5030467.5014.4$86.50avgdown_recoverβ€”
07:17 AMrsifadeshort30486.2530488.50-2.3$-9.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (2.2pt)β€”
07:19 AMrsifadeshort30487.7530488.25-0.5$-2.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (0.5pt)β€”
07:28 AMrsifadelong30462.7530465.252.5$10.00llm_rescue_exit:CHOCH_DOWN + price below both EMAs, struβ€”
07:40 AMribbonshort30467.2530438.0019.8$119.00avgdown_recoverβ€”
07:44 AMrsifadelong30436.2530442.506.3$25.00llm_rescue_exit:BOS_DOWN confirmed, both EMAs lost, longβ€”
07:48 AMrsifadelong30422.5030417.50-5.0$-20.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (5.0pt)β€”
07:52 AMrsifadelong30417.0030413.50-3.5$-14.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=- (3.5pt)β€”
07:56 AMrsifadelong30393.0030424.0020.1$120.50avgdown_recoverβ€”
08:07 AMrsifadeshort30446.0030449.25-3.3$-13.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (3.2pt)β€”
08:09 AMrsifadeshort30450.5030463.00-12.5$-50.00llm_rescue_exit:CHoCH_UP + price above both EMAs, structβ€”
08:11 AMrsifadeshort30457.7530464.50-6.8$-27.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (6.8pt)β€”
08:26 AMrsifadeshort30477.2530467.2510.0$40.00llm_rescue_exit:CHOCH_UP + price above both EMAs, RSI 62β€”
08:30 AMrsifadeshort30489.7530492.75-3.0$-12.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (3.0pt)β€”
08:36 AMrsifadeshort30506.7530511.75-5.0$-20.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (5.0pt)β€”
08:40 AMribbonlong30480.2530509.5021.7$130.00avgdown_recoverβ€”
09:06 AMrsifadelong30473.2530472.00-1.3$-5.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (1.2pt)β€”
09:10 AMrsifadelong30470.2530489.2514.5$87.00avgdown_recoverβ€”
09:18 AMrsifadeshort30505.2530507.00-1.8$-7.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (1.8pt)β€”
09:34 AMrsifadelong30433.0030435.507.1$42.50avgdown_recoverβ€”
09:41 AMribbonshort30463.7530499.00-35.3$-141.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (35.2pt)β€”
09:44 AMrsifadeshort30512.0030521.50-9.5$-38.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=CHOCH_UP (9.5pt)β€”
09:55 AMribbonshort30452.2530356.2573.9$443.50avgdown_recoverβ€”
10:02 AMrsifadelong30332.2530453.75121.5$486.00tick_tpβ€”
10:18 AMrsifadeshort30468.5030534.25-46.0$-368.00tick_slβ€”
10:24 AMrsifadeshort30530.0030406.5088.4$530.50avgdown_recoverβ€”
10:41 AMribbonshort30393.7530417.50-23.8$-95.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=- (23.8pt)β€”
12:27 PMrsifadeshort30466.7530467.00-0.3$-1.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (0.2pt)mistakeGate RSI-fade shorts: require trend context ≀0 (neutral or bearish) before entry β€” a BOS_UP environment invalidates the fade thesis before the first tick.
12:45 PMrsifadelong30412.5030409.50-3.0$-12.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (3.0pt)mistakeBlock rsi_fade long signals when trend=-1; require trend=0 or trend=1 before fading oversold RSI.
12:48 PMrsifadelong30403.7530413.509.8$39.00llm_rescue_exit:BOS_DOWN, both EMAs lost, trend=-1, strumarginalDon't take RSI fade longs when trend=-1 (both EMAs broken); wait for at least one EMA to reclaim before fading into a downtrend.
12:55 PMribbonshort30410.7530385.7512.8$76.50avgdown_recovermarginalRequire RSI β‰₯ 55 (or configurable overbought floor) before taking ribbon_stack_dn entries, and consider minimum signal age β‰₯ 2 bars to filter noise.
01:22 PMrsifadeshort30411.0030418.25-7.3$-29.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=BOS_UP (7.2pt)mistakeDo not initiate RSI fade shorts when trend=+1 or when a BOS_UP event is imminent β€” require trend=0 or trend=-1 before taking counter-trend fades.
01:28 PMictshort30410.0030421.25-11.3$-45.00llm_rescue_exit:BOS_UP confirmed, price above both EMAs,marginalGate ICT short entries on EMA structure β€” require price to be below at least the fast EMA before taking a reversal short, regardless of the liquidity sweep pattern.
01:57 PMrsifadeshort30448.5030459.50-11.0$-44.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=+1 ev=- (11.0pt)mistakeDon't fade RSI in the direction of prevailing trend β€” require trend neutrality or reversal confirmation before taking a counter-trend rsifade entry.
02:00 PMrsifadelong30342.7530296.50-46.3$-185.00tick_slmistakeAdd a minimum score threshold (e.g. 40+) for RSI fade entries to filter low-conviction signals that fire into trending momentum rather than true exhaustion.
02:01 PMrsifadelong30329.5030284.25-45.3$-181.00tick_slmistakeRequire a minimum 1.5Γ— ATR buffer between entry and stop before taking RSI fades, or add a price-level confluence filter (support/VWAP) to reduce single-bar stopouts.
02:03 PMrsifadelong30237.0030186.00-51.0$-204.00tick_slmistakeStop loss must be at least 1.0–1.25Γ— ATR; when SL < ATR, valid signals will be stopped out randomly β€” fix the SL floor before taking any rsifade trades.
02:04 PMrsifadelong30233.0030186.00-47.0$-188.00tick_slmistakeNever set a stop tighter than 1Γ— ATR; in high-volatility conditions (ATR > 40 on MNQ), either skip RSI fades entirely or widen SL to at least 1.2Γ— ATR and reduce size accordingly.
02:57 PMrsifadelong30293.2530247.75-45.5$-182.00tick_slmarginalSet SL β‰₯ 1.0Γ— ATR on rsifade entries; a sub-ATR stop converts a real edge into a near-certain loss on any normal volatility bar.
02:58 PMrsifadelong30226.0030346.25120.3$481.00tick_tpgood_entryRSI fade entries below 20 with >2:1 R:R are high-conviction β€” trust the full TP rather than scaling out early.
03:09 PMribbonshort30294.7530355.00-60.3$-241.00tick_slmarginalRequire ribbon_stack_dn ageβ‰₯2 (or scoreβ‰₯55) before entering shorts after 15:00 to avoid getting squeezed by end-of-day covering.
03:20 PMrsifadelong30169.5030123.75-45.8$-183.00tick_slmistakeNever set SL < 1Γ—ATR on MNQ intraday fades; at minimum require SL β‰₯ ATR before issuing the signal.
03:21 PMrsifadelong30118.7530073.50-45.3$-181.00tick_slmistakeSL must be at least 1Γ—ATR (55pts here) for a fade entry to survive the initial volatility; a 0.82Γ—ATR stop is not a stop, it's a scheduled loss.
03:32 PMrsifadelong30089.0030085.00-4.0$-16.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=BOS_DOWN (4.0pt)mistakeNever fade oversold RSI when a Break of Structure to the downside is already confirmed β€” wait for structure reclaim before taking counter-trend longs.
03:34 PMrsifadelong30070.5030025.25-45.3$-181.00tick_slmistakeNever fade RSI extremes in the final 30 minutes of RTH; late-session momentum exhaustion rarely reverses intraday β€” wait for next-day open confirmation.
03:39 PMrsifadelong30009.5029954.00-55.5$-222.00tick_slmarginalBlock rsifade entries after 15:15 CT and require SL β‰₯ 1.0Γ— ATR to filter low-probability late-day setups.
03:41 PMrsifadelong29956.7529940.75-16.0$-64.00avgdown_stop:structure_against trend=-1 ev=- (16.0pt)mistakeNever fade extreme RSI into the final 30 minutes of RTH β€” trend pressure and time decay stack against you; reserve rsifade for mid-session (10:00–14:30) when mean-reversion has room to play out.
03:52 PMrsifadelong29935.2530059.50124.3$497.00tick_tpgood_entryLate-session RSI fades can work when R:R > 2.5:1 and the stop is within 1 ATR, but consider tightening TP to 2 ATR after 15:45 to reduce overnight gap exposure if the trade lingers.

QQQ Options (tos_bot)

QQQ Net P/L
$0.00
Round trips
0
Wins / Losses
0 / 0

Market: MNQ day window: low 29925.25 high 30538.25 range 613.00 (508 1-min bars)

Signals: none

Trades: 0 round trips (0 wins / 0 losses) | A/B: scalper(real) net est $0 vs managed-shadow(sim) realized $-915 / equity $-915

P/L: FIFO net est $0.00 from fill lines β€” duplicate-echo fills may skew; broker statement is authoritative

Incidents: 14:42:57 WARNING tos_bot: rejecting QQQ spot 2959.67 (outside 400-1200 band) οΏ½ check the ToS tab is on QQQ | 14:43:28 WARNING tos_bot: rejecting QQQ spot 2960.5025 (outside 400-1200 band) οΏ½ check the ToS tab is on QQQ | 16:14:56 WARNING tos_bot: rejecting QQQ spot jump 621.76 (last 723.50, >10%) οΏ½ check the ToS tab is on QQQ

Stocks β€” QQQ / SPCX (stock_bot)

QQQ Net P/L
$160.98
BotTradesWin%Net P/LBestWorstBroker
QQQ1100.0%$160.98$160.98$160.98alpaca-paper
BotSymbolEntryInOutExitSharesAddsP/L
QQQQQQ09:32 AM728.087730.77002:16 PM605$160.98

Recent Sessions

DateTradesWin%PFNet P/L
2026-08-123435.3%0.29$-1150.00
2026-08-112821.4%0.4$-741.50
2026-08-101816.7%0.03$-1030.00
2026-08-071526.7%0.05$-512.00
2026-08-062532%1.07$52.00
2026-08-051926.3%0.32$-440.50
2026-08-041631.2%5.55$1641.00
2026-08-032330.4%0.67$-244.00
2026-07-312536%0.67$-303.00
2026-07-306254.8%1.1$102.50
2026-07-294949%0.14$-3827.00
2026-07-286851.5%39.88$41254.50
2026-07-274959.2%1.25$152.00
2026-07-245448.1%0.68$-305.50
2026-07-235349.1%0.88$-94.00
2026-07-223151.6%0.65$-157.50
2026-07-214938.8%0.31$-1243.50
2026-07-201546.7%0.3$-502.50
2026-07-171136.4%0.42$-202.00
2026-07-167243.1%0.5$-696.50
2026-07-154665.2%1.44$361.50
2026-07-1421249.5%0.84$-445.00
2026-07-135764.9%1.26$133.50
2026-07-033935.9%0.62$-188.00
2026-07-027736.4%0.91$-67.00
2026-07-014537.8%0.73$-134.00
2026-06-305339.6%0.84$-120.00
2026-06-293951.3%1.35$589.00
2026-06-262254.5%0.92$-139.00
2026-06-255442.6%1.08$110.00

Data: signal_gen (MNQ) + aiprediction.us option flow. Pipeline refreshes weekdays ~17:20 ET.